St. Lucia vs Bermuda match stats & report
5–2 Full time
St. Lucia beat Bermuda 5–2 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 2) on 29 September 2026. Bermuda had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave St. Lucia 29%, the draw 24% and Bermuda 48%.
St. Lucia vs Bermuda match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 16 Total shots 20
- 7 Shots on target 11
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 11 Shots inside the box 11
- 3 Corners 8
- 16 Fouls 6
- 2 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 338 Passes 451
- 9 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 15' Goal St. Lucia
- 18' Goal (assist C. Elva) St. Lucia
- 35' Goal (assist S. Byron) St. Lucia
- 39' Yellow card St. Lucia
- 44' Yellow card St. Lucia
- 45+1' Goal (assist Z. Lewis) Bermuda
- 53' Goal S. Byron St. Lucia
- 68' Goal (assist C. Elva) St. Lucia
- 70' Goal Bermuda
- 71' Yellow card Bermuda
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 29%St. Lucia fair odds 3.50
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.22
- 48%Bermuda fair odds 2.10
Most likely score 1-1 (9.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.45 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 25.45 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 70% | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: No | 30% | 3.29 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
St. Lucia 4.7 · Bermuda 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.5
St. Lucia 1.6 · Bermuda 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 10.6
St. Lucia 5.6 · Bermuda 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4426 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 9.9%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 2–2 6.9%
- 2–1 6.8%
- 1–3 6.0%
- 0–2 5.7%
- 2–3 4.7%
- 0–1 4.5%
Team news & lineups
St. Lucia
Bench Mervin Romain St., djal augustin, darren donaie, Baggio Edward, Dervaj Edward, Alfred Hippolyte, lester joseph, yanic noel, gregson president, Garvin Reggie, brandon sandiford, Devone Prix St.
Bermuda
Bench London jackson steede, Riley robinson, Robinson l., Diego richardson, D. Parfitt-Williams , Caleb Mcdowall, Jahquil Hill, Sincere hall, Cj Fubler, Elisha Darrell, Blayz Borgesson
Form guide
St. Lucia at home
2–0–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 4.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Bermuda away
0–1–5 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 3.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.03 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.89 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.55 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.18 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.50 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.73 |
| Home clean sheet | 13% | 7.59 |