Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Hannover 96 stats & fixtures · 1. FC Kaiserslautern stats & fixtures
Hannover 96 lost to 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–2 in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.54–0.54. Hannover 96 had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Hannover 96 43%, the draw 27% and 1. FC Kaiserslautern 30%.
Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 1.54 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
- 24 Total shots 5
- 8 Shots on target 3
- 9 Shots off target 2
- 7 Blocked shots 0
- 14 Shots inside the box 3
- 15 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 6
- 2 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 384 Passes 373
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 8
Goals and cards
- 14' Goal M. Luković (assist T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta) 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 15' Yellow card M. Ritter 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 36' Yellow card F. Roggow Hannover 96
- 45+4' Yellow card H. Chakroun Hannover 96
- 53' Yellow card J. Hugonet Hannover 96
- 74' Yellow card F. Kunze 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 82' Yellow card P. Joly 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 85' Yellow card Hannover 96
- 86' Goal I. Prtajin (assist F. Kunze) 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 87' Yellow card I. Prtajin 1. FC Kaiserslautern
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: double chance Hannover 96 or 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 73% before kick-off
- 43%Hannover 96 fair odds 2.30
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.75
- 30%1. FC Kaiserslautern fair odds 3.35
Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Hannover 96 to score about 0.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 16% in this competition.
High confidence — Fitted on 15283 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Hannover 96
Attack 1.66 · Defence 0.46
Last five: LDLWW, scored 5, conceded 7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Attack 1.59 · Defence 0.45
Last five: WWDDW, scored 5, conceded 1
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.16× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Hannover 96 has a new coach, S. Wagner, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Hannover 96 attack scores 66% more than average, against 1. FC Kaiserslautern defence, which lets in 55% fewer than average: 1.64 goals (an average side here: 2.21)
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack scores 59% more than average, against Hannover 96 defence, which lets in 54% fewer than average: 1.40 goals (an average side here: 1.90)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Hannover 96 1.67, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.36.
Ratings from 103 matches for Hannover 96 and 111 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Hannover 96 win 8.5 corners a game — 96th percentile in this competition.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 0.9 a game — 8th percentile in this competition.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern win 9 corners a game — 91st percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.26 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.01 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.62 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.4%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 2–0 6.7%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 0–0 6.2%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 0–1 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Hannover 96
Bench Noah Engelbreth , T. Hobrecht , Mwisho Mhango, I. Okon , K. Oudenne , W. Taïbi , Stefán Teitur Thórdarson , L. Weinkauf , Merlin Sinanović
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Bench M. Sauer , N. Skyttä , I. Prtajin , S. Şahin , P. Joly , D. Hofmeister , J. Elvedi , M. Berisha , Y. Onohiol
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Hannover 96 at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 8.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.5 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
1. FC Kaiserslautern away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 9.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.77 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.35 |
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.89 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.24 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.33 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.38 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.24 |