Cieza vs Granada CF result
0–3 Full time
Cieza stats & fixtures · Granada CF stats & fixtures
Cieza lost to Granada CF 0–3 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 29 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cieza 30%, the draw 29% and Granada CF 40%.
Goals and cards
- 10' Goal Diego Hormigo Granada CF
- 12' Yellow card C. Onouha Granada CF
- 17' Yellow card Diego Hormigo Granada CF
- 58' Yellow card E. Nwenyi Cieza
- 61' Goal B. Gimber Granada CF
- 73' Yellow card Diego Pampín Granada CF
- 84' Goal Jorge Pascual Granada CF
- 89' Yellow card Sergio López Granada CF
- 90' Yellow card J. Vera Cieza
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: double chance Cieza or Granada CF, 71% before kick-off
- 30%Cieza fair odds 3.32
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.40
- 40%Granada CF fair odds 2.47
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Cieza
Attack 1.33 · Defence 0.56
Last five: WWWDL, scored 12, conceded 5
Granada CF
Attack 1.88 · Defence 0.52
Last five: WWWWL, scored 10, conceded 6
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Granada CF has a new coach, José Rojo Martín, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Cieza attack scores 33% more than average, against Granada CF defence, which lets in 48% fewer than average: 1.22 goals (an average side here: 1.74)
- Granada CF attack scores 88% more than average, against Cieza defence, which lets in 44% fewer than average: 1.39 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Cieza 1.19, Granada CF 1.41.
Ratings from 108 matches for Cieza and 130 for Granada CF, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Granada CF score 1.7 a game — 87th percentile in this competition.
- Granada CF win 3.3 corners a game — 21st percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Granada CF’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.76 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.08 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.19 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 0–0 9.0%
- 0–1 8.8%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 2–1 7.4%
- 0–2 7.4%
- 1–0 7.2%
- 2–2 5.3%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Cieza at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Granada CF away
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 60% | 1.68 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.68 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.42 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.47 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.30 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.32 |
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.12 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.00 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.61 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.39 |