Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia result
0–6 Full time
Lechia Gdansk stats & fixtures · Jagiellonia stats & fixtures
Lechia Gdansk lost to Jagiellonia 0–6 in the Cup (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lechia Gdansk 34%, the draw 24% and Jagiellonia 42%.
Goals and cards
- 2' Yellow card S. Kopasek Lechia Gdansk
- 34' Goal N. Prelec Jagiellonia
- 40' Goal O. Sow Jagiellonia
- 43' Yellow card A. Ćirković Jagiellonia
- 50' Goal O. Sow (assist A. Klynge) Jagiellonia
- 54' Goal Jesús Imaz (assist A. Ćirković) Jagiellonia
- 61' Goal O. Sow (assist D. Rallis) Jagiellonia
- 68' Goal D. Rallis Jagiellonia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: double chance Lechia Gdansk or Jagiellonia, 76% before kick-off
- 34%Lechia Gdansk fair odds 2.92
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.20
- 42%Jagiellonia fair odds 2.39
Most likely score 1-1 (9.7%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Lechia Gdansk
Attack 1.71 · Defence 0.71
Last five: LWWWW, scored 15, conceded 6
Jagiellonia
Attack 1.77 · Defence 0.56
Last five: WLLWL, scored 5, conceded 8
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.20× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 4 meetings: Lechia Gdansk won 2, 0 drawn, Jagiellonia won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (10%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Lechia Gdansk has a new coach, Vladyslav Lupashko, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Lechia Gdansk attack scores 71% more than average, against Jagiellonia defence, which lets in 44% fewer than average: 1.76 goals (an average side here: 1.84)
- Jagiellonia attack scores 77% more than average, against Lechia Gdansk defence, which lets in 29% fewer than average: 1.91 goals (an average side here: 1.53)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Lechia Gdansk 1.74, Jagiellonia 1.93.
Ratings from 106 matches for Lechia Gdansk and 109 for Jagiellonia, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Jagiellonia score 2.1 a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
- Jagiellonia win 2.8 corners a game — 15th percentile in this competition.
- Lechia Gdansk have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 27.33 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11% | 9.27 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 72% | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score: No | 28% | 3.52 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Lechia Gdansk 5.6 · Jagiellonia 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (300 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 9.7%
- 1–2 8.3%
- 2–1 7.4%
- 2–2 7.2%
- 1–3 5.3%
- 0–2 4.7%
- 2–3 4.6%
- 3–1 4.3%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Lechia Gdansk at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Jagiellonia away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk v Jagiellonia | 3–0 | |
| Jagiellonia v Lechia Gdansk | 2–0 | |
| Lechia Gdansk v Jagiellonia | 1–0 | |
| Jagiellonia v Lechia Gdansk | 3–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.39 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.92 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.29 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.23 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 15% | 6.89 |