Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete prediction & stats
Calvo Sotelo stats & fixtures · Albacete stats & fixtures
Calvo Sotelo take on Albacete in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 4 November 2026. The Ghost makes Albacete favourites at 71%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 0–2, at 16.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 35%.
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete prediction
The Ghost: the market disagrees with the result call; the call made for the original date was voided
- 8%Calvo Sotelo fair odds 13.05
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.59
- 71%Albacete fair odds 1.42
Most likely score 0-2 (16.3%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Albacete to score about 1.4 more.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 26955 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Calvo Sotelo
Attack 0.92 · Defence 0.77
Last five: LDLDL, scored 4, conceded 9
Albacete
Attack 1.79 · Defence 0.53
Last five: WWLLL, scored 6, conceded 11
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.00× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (16%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Albacete has a new coach, Joseba Etxeberria, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Calvo Sotelo attack scores 8% less than average, against Albacete defence, which lets in 47% fewer than average: 0.64 goals (an average side here: 1.31)
- Albacete attack scores 79% more than average, against Calvo Sotelo defence, which lets in 23% fewer than average: 1.80 goals (an average side here: 1.31)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Calvo Sotelo 0.51, Albacete 1.93.
Ratings from 103 matches for Calvo Sotelo and 130 for Albacete, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Albacete have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
- Albacete score 0.6 a game — 17th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 2 of Calvo Sotelo’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 9.87 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.20 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 35% | 2.84 |
| Both teams to score: No | 65% | 1.54 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 16.3%
- 0–1 15.7%
- 0–3 10.5%
- 0–0 9.8%
- 1–1 9.6%
- 1–2 8.3%
- 1–3 5.3%
- 0–4 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Calvo Sotelo
No lineup published yet.
Albacete
- 22 Lluís López Defender
- 21 Carlos Neva Defender
- 6 Antonio Pacheco Midfielder
- 17 José Corpas Midfielder
- 11 Víctor Valverde Midfielder
- 14 San Bartolomé Midfielder
- 13 Diego Mariño Goalkeeper
- 24 Vallejo Defender
- 18 Sergio Ortu Midfielder
- 2 Lorenzo Aguado Defender
- 12 Higinio Marín Attacker
Form guide
Calvo Sotelo at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Albacete away
1–2–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.4 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.42 |
| Away clean sheet | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 45% | 2.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 31% | 3.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 29% | 3.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.40 |
| Home clean sheet | 14% | 6.92 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 9% | 10.81 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 8% | 13.05 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 2% | 55.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 66.82 |