Alcoyano vs Mallorca prediction & stats
Alcoyano take on Mallorca in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 5 November 2026. The Ghost makes Mallorca favourites at 56%, with the draw at 30%. The likeliest score is 0–1, at 18.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 34%.
Alcoyano vs Mallorca prediction
The Ghost: Mallorca to win, 56%; the call made for the original date was voided
- 14%Alcoyano fair odds 7.25
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.28
- 56%Mallorca fair odds 1.79
Most likely score 0-1 (18.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Mallorca to score about 0.8 more. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 26955 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Alcoyano
Attack 0.95 · Defence 0.53
Last five: DLLWW, scored 4, conceded 5
Mallorca
Attack 1.90 · Defence 0.40
Last five: WDDWD, scored 7, conceded 4
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-1 (18%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Alcoyano attack scores 5% less than average, against Mallorca defence, which lets in 60% fewer than average: 0.66 goals (an average side here: 1.73)
- Mallorca attack scores 90% more than average, against Alcoyano defence, which lets in 47% fewer than average: 1.31 goals (an average side here: 1.31)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Alcoyano 0.57, Mallorca 1.40.
Ratings from 111 matches for Alcoyano and 126 for Mallorca, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Mallorca score 0.6 a game — 17th percentile in this competition.
- Mallorca win 4.5 corners a game — 66th percentile in this competition.
- Alcoyano have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.26 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 19.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 34% | 2.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 66% | 1.52 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–1 18.0%
- 0–0 15.4%
- 0–2 13.6%
- 1–1 12.6%
- 1–2 7.8%
- 1–0 6.5%
- 0–3 6.3%
- 1–3 3.6%
Team news & lineups
Alcoyano
No lineup published yet.
Mallorca
- 1 Arnau Tenas Goalkeeper
- 20 Pablo Torre Midfielder
- 7 Álex Sala Midfielder
- 18 Fuentes Attacker
- 21 Raíllo Defender
- 6 Antonio Sánchez Midfielder
- 5 Alberto Moreno Defender
- 33 Adrian Liso Midfielder
- 24 M. Valjent Defender
- 11 Zito Luvumbo Midfielder
- 15 John Donald Defender
Form guide
Alcoyano at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Mallorca away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.1 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.44 |
| Away clean sheet | 56% | 1.77 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.47 |
| Home clean sheet | 25% | 4.05 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 6.03 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.25 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 11% | 8.83 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 27.89 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 48.57 |