PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS match stats & report

PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS match statistics

• 73% Ball possession 27%
• 14 Total shots 6
• 6 Shots on target 3
• 4 Shots off target 2
• 4 Blocked shots 1
• 7 Shots inside the box 4
• 8 Corners 5
• 11 Fouls 10
• 2 Offsides 1
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 637 Passes 254
• 90% Pass accuracy 66%
• 1 Goalkeeper saves 6

Goals and cards

1. 18' Own goal L. Mol PEC Zwolle
2. 34' Goal D. Vianello FC OSS
3. 50' Goal M. Hinoke (assist L. Miguel) FC OSS
4. 80' Yellow card M. Hinoke FC OSS

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects PEC Zwolle to score about 1.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

High confidence — Fitted on 5327 matches, and close to what the market implies.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 2-0 (11%). Confidence: High.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• PEC Zwolle attack scores 52% more than average, against FC OSS defence, which lets in 35% fewer than average: 2.28 goals (an average side here: 2.30)
• FC OSS attack scores 3% more than average, against PEC Zwolle defence, which lets in 49% fewer than average: 1.03 goals (an average side here: 1.95)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on PEC Zwolle 2.44, FC OSS 0.87.

Ratings from 106 matches for PEC Zwolle and 118 for FC OSS, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• FC OSS have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
• FC OSS score 1 a game — 16th percentile in this competition.
• PEC Zwolle have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 2–0 10.9%
2. 2–1 9.5%
3. 3–0 8.8%
4. 1–1 8.8%
5. 1–0 7.9%
6. 3–1 7.7%
7. 4–0 5.4%
8. 4–1 4.7%