Vvsb vs EVV result
4–0 Full time
Vvsb beat EVV 4–0 in the KNVB Beker (Round of 64) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Vvsb 56%, the draw 22% and EVV 21%.
Goals and cards
- 3' Goal (assist J. van Nieuwkerk) Vvsb
- 7' Goal T. Timmermans (assist J. van Esveld) Vvsb
- 23' Yellow card N. Van Wetten Vvsb
- 37' Goal S. Owobowale (assist N. Molenaar) Vvsb
- 53' Yellow card M. Vergoossen EVV
- 64' Red card EVV
- 66' Yellow card T. Kleijweg Vvsb
- 68' Yellow card Vvsb
- 71' Goal T. Wolters (assist T. Timmermans) Vvsb
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Vvsb to win, 56% before kick-off
- 56%Vvsb fair odds 1.77
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.48
- 21%EVV fair odds 4.71
Most likely score 1-1 (9.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Vvsb to score about 0.9 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 5327 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Vvsb
Attack 0.88 · Defence 0.91
Last five: LDLLL, scored 8, conceded 15
EVV
Attack 0.81 · Defence 1.04
Last five: LDLLD, scored 4, conceded 8
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (10%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Vvsb attack scores 12% less than average, against EVV defence, which lets in 4% more than average: 2.12 goals (an average side here: 2.30)
- EVV attack scores 19% less than average, against Vvsb defence, which lets in 9% fewer than average: 1.43 goals (an average side here: 1.95)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Vvsb 2.21, EVV 1.33.
Ratings from 110 matches for Vvsb and 17 for EVV, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- EVV have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
- EVV score 1.2 a game — 26th percentile in this competition.
- Vvsb score 1.5 a game — 34th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 28% | 3.54 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 24.98 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.19 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 2.99 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 9.6%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 2–0 7.1%
- 3–1 7.0%
- 2–2 6.3%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 1–0 5.3%
- 3–0 5.2%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.77 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.79 |
| Home clean sheet | 27% | 3.77 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.71 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.71 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 9.16 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.79 |