SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht match stats & report

SC Genemuiden vs Dordrecht match statistics

• 32% Ball possession 68%
• 13 Total shots 16
• 9 Shots on target 4
• 4 Shots off target 7
• 0 Blocked shots 5
• 12 Shots inside the box 8
• 2 Corners 9
• 13 Fouls 12
• 3 Offsides 0
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 210 Passes 440
• 65% Pass accuracy 90%
• 3 Goalkeeper saves 6

Goals and cards

1. 10' Goal Thijmen de Lange (assist Sander Egbers) SC Genemuiden
2. 16' Yellow card Berwout Beimers SC Genemuiden
3. 42' Goal Beni Mpanzu (assist M. Vetkal) Dordrecht
4. 55' Goal Robin van Asten (assist J. de Bie) Dordrecht
5. 64' Yellow card Beni Mpanzu Dordrecht
6. 65' Goal Sander Egbers (assist Berwout Beimers) SC Genemuiden
7. 76' Yellow card Gerben Kolk SC Genemuiden
8. 76' Yellow card Arend van de Wetering SC Genemuiden
9. 79' Goal Sander Egbers (assist Thijmen de Lange) SC Genemuiden
10. 90' Yellow card A. Ouarghi Dordrecht

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Dordrecht to score about 0.6 more.

Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (11%). Confidence: Low.

Flags and warnings

• SC Genemuiden has a new coach, A. Klein, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Dordrecht has a new coach, Paul Nuijten, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• SC Genemuiden attack scores 11% less than average, against Dordrecht defence, which lets in 34% fewer than average: 1.34 goals (an average side here: 2.30)
• Dordrecht attack scores 13% more than average, against SC Genemuiden defence, which lets in 16% fewer than average: 1.85 goals (an average side here: 1.95)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on SC Genemuiden 1.27, Dordrecht 1.92.

Ratings from 117 matches for SC Genemuiden and 124 for Dordrecht, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Dordrecht win 9 corners a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
• SC Genemuiden win 2 corners a game — 10th percentile in this competition.
• Dordrecht have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 11.3%
2. 1–2 9.6%
3. 0–2 7.6%
4. 0–1 6.6%
5. 2–1 6.4%
6. 1–3 6.2%
7. 2–2 6.1%
8. 0–0 5.4%