Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II result

Goals and cards

1. 24' Yellow card Polonia Środa
2. 33' Yellow card Polonia Środa
3. 37' Goal I. Kobelczuk Śląsk Wrocław II
4. 38' Goal P. Mikita Polonia Środa
5. 44' Goal B. Bartkowiak Polonia Środa
6. 50' Goal P. Skrobosinski Polonia Środa
7. 72' Yellow card Śląsk Wrocław II

Why the Ghost says this

The two sides are expected to score about the same. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 6587 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.00× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (11%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Polonia Środa attack scores 12% more than average, against Śląsk Wrocław II defence, which lets in about the average: 1.67 goals (an average side here: 1.53)
• Śląsk Wrocław II attack scores 16% more than average, against Polonia Środa defence, which lets in about the average: 1.79 goals (an average side here: 1.53)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Polonia Środa 1.65, Śląsk Wrocław II 1.81.

Ratings from 104 matches for Polonia Środa and 103 for Śląsk Wrocław II, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Śląsk Wrocław II have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
• Polonia Środa score 2.8 a game — 97th percentile in this competition.
• Śląsk Wrocław II score 2 a game — 93rd percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 10.6%
2. 1–2 8.5%
3. 2–1 7.7%
4. 2–2 7.0%
5. 0–2 5.1%
6. 1–3 5.1%
7. 0–1 4.5%
8. 0–0 4.4%