Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce result
4–2 After extra time
Tychy 71 stats & fixtures · Pogoń Siedlce stats & fixtures
Tychy 71 beat Pogoń Siedlce 4–2 in the Cup (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Tychy 71 45%, the draw 30% and Pogoń Siedlce 25%.
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal K. Plichta Tychy 71
- 18' Goal K. Plichta (assist P. Olkowski) Tychy 71
- 34' Yellow card S. Szczytniewski Pogoń Siedlce
- 69' Goal M. Rosolek Pogoń Siedlce
- 85' Yellow card P. Szur Pogoń Siedlce
- 85' Yellow card M. Lewandowski Tychy 71
- 90+3' Goal M. Rosolek (assist S. Kobusinski) Pogoń Siedlce
- 97' Goal J. Chorosinski Tychy 71
- 120' Goal M. Lewandowski (assist O. Wojtczak) Tychy 71
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: Tychy 71 to win, 45% before kick-off, settled on 2–2 after 90 minutes
- 45%Tychy 71 fair odds 2.21
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.38
- 25%Pogoń Siedlce fair odds 3.98
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Tychy 71 to score about 0.4 more and playing at home is worth roughly 20% in this competition.
High confidence — Fitted on 6587 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Tychy 71
Attack 1.10 · Defence 0.72
Last five: DWWWD, scored 7, conceded 1
Pogoń Siedlce
Attack 0.99 · Defence 0.70
Last five: WLLLW, scored 7, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.20× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Tychy 71 has a new coach, Rene Poms, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Pogoń Siedlce has a new coach, Adam Nocon, for its last 3 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Tychy 71 attack scores 10% more than average, against Pogoń Siedlce defence, which lets in 30% fewer than average: 1.41 goals (an average side here: 1.84)
- Pogoń Siedlce attack scores about the average, against Tychy 71 defence, which lets in 28% fewer than average: 1.08 goals (an average side here: 1.53)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Tychy 71 1.45, Pogoń Siedlce 1.03.
Ratings from 107 matches for Tychy 71 and 102 for Pogoń Siedlce, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Tychy 71 have kept 7 clean sheets in 10.
- Tychy 71 score 1.3 a game — 23rd percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Tychy 71’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.18 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.37 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.04 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.04 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 1–0 10.5%
- 0–0 10.0%
- 2–1 9.1%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 0–1 7.0%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 2–2 4.7%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Tychy 71 at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Pogoń Siedlce away
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.63 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.98 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.28 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.56 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.09 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.65 |