Grorud vs Brann result
0–2 Full time
Grorud lost to Brann 0–2 in the NM Cupen (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Grorud 18%, the draw 20% and Brann 61%.
Goals and cards
- 35' Yellow card N. Castro Brann
- 60' Yellow card T. Sosseh Grorud
- 66' Goal V. Dragsnes Brann
- 72' Goal N. Castro Brann
- 75' Yellow card M. Larsen Grorud
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Brann to win, 62% before kick-off
- 18%Grorud fair odds 5.52
- 20%Draw fair odds 4.88
- 61%Brann fair odds 1.63
Most likely score 1-2 (9.2%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Brann to score about 1.1 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Grorud
Attack 1.47 · Defence 0.46
Last five: LLWWW, scored 10, conceded 6
Brann
Attack 2.42 · Defence 0.36
Last five: LWLWL, scored 9, conceded 10
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-2 (9%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Grorud attack scores 47% more than average, against Brann defence, which lets in 64% fewer than average: 1.42 goals (an average side here: 2.68)
- Brann attack scores 142% more than average, against Grorud defence, which lets in 54% fewer than average: 2.31 goals (an average side here: 2.09)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Grorud 1.30, Brann 2.43.
Ratings from 87 matches for Grorud and 101 for Brann, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Brann win 5.5 corners a game — 81st percentile in this competition.
- Brann score 1.7 a game — 34th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 29.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10% | 9.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.56 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 3.05 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–2 9.2%
- 1–1 8.6%
- 1–3 7.5%
- 0–2 7.1%
- 2–2 6.0%
- 0–3 5.8%
- 2–1 4.9%
- 0–1 4.9%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Grorud at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Brann away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 41% | 2.44 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.52 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.03 |
| Home clean sheet | 9% | 11.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 8% | 13.02 |