Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam result
1–2 Full time
Rosenborg lost to Ham-Kam 1–2 in the NM Cupen (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Rosenborg 71%, the draw 17% and Ham-Kam 12%.
Goals and cards
- 39' Goal E. Ceïde Rosenborg
- 44' Yellow card H. Opsahl Ham-Kam
- 49' Yellow card M. Kjølø Rosenborg
- 57' Yellow card João Barros Ham-Kam
- 72' Goal D. Benjamin Ham-Kam
- 73' Yellow card J. Mortensen Rosenborg
- 80' Yellow card V. Jónsson Ham-Kam
- 84' Goal V. Jónsson Ham-Kam
- 86' Yellow card O. Selnaes Rosenborg
- 86' Yellow card A. Potur Ham-Kam
- 90+1' Yellow card T. Nemcik Rosenborg
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: Rosenborg to win, 71% before kick-off
- 71%Rosenborg fair odds 1.41
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.91
- 12%Ham-Kam fair odds 8.14
Most likely score 2-1 (8.7%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Rosenborg to score about 1.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 28% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 6209 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Rosenborg
Attack 2.51 · Defence 0.33
Last five: WWDWW, scored 12, conceded 2
Ham-Kam
Attack 1.91 · Defence 0.39
Last five: LLWLW, scored 8, conceded 10
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Rosenborg won 5, 0 drawn, Ham-Kam won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-1 (9%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Rosenborg attack scores 151% more than average, against Ham-Kam defence, which lets in 61% fewer than average: 2.63 goals (an average side here: 2.68)
- Ham-Kam attack scores 91% more than average, against Rosenborg defence, which lets in 67% fewer than average: 1.33 goals (an average side here: 2.09)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Rosenborg 2.80, Ham-Kam 1.16.
Ratings from 101 matches for Rosenborg and 100 for Ham-Kam, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Ham-Kam win 3 corners a game — 12th percentile in this competition.
- Rosenborg score 2.4 a game — 76th percentile in this competition.
- Rosenborg win 7.3 corners a game — 75th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 36% | 2.74 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 37.07 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9% | 11.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.11 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.88 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Rosenborg 6.7 · Ham-Kam 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 11.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (224 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 8.7%
- 3–1 8.1%
- 2–0 7.5%
- 3–0 7.0%
- 1–1 7.0%
- 4–1 5.7%
- 2–2 5.0%
- 4–0 4.9%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Rosenborg at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 9.3 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ham-Kam away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam v Rosenborg | 0–3 | |
| Rosenborg v Ham-Kam | 4–0 | |
| Ham-Kam v Rosenborg | 4–0 | |
| Rosenborg v Ham-Kam | 2–0 | |
| Ham-Kam v Rosenborg | 0–2 | |
| Rosenborg v Ham-Kam | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 51% | 1.94 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 49% | 2.06 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 29% | 3.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.42 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.14 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.93 |
| Away clean sheet | 6% | 16.54 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 21.07 |