Ranheim vs Fredrikstad result
2–5 Full time
Ranheim stats & fixtures · Fredrikstad stats & fixtures
Ranheim lost to Fredrikstad 2–5 in the NM Cupen (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Ranheim 31%, the draw 23% and Fredrikstad 47%.
Goals and cards
- 9' Goal B. Faraas Fredrikstad
- 15' Goal O. Holden (assist F. Nyenetue) Ranheim
- 20' Goal D. Eid Fredrikstad
- 52' Goal B. Faraas (assist J. Nunez) Fredrikstad
- 54' Goal H. Skogvold (assist J. Nunez) Fredrikstad
- 58' Yellow card M. Johnsen Ranheim
- 58' Yellow card J. Jezierski Fredrikstad
- 76' Yellow card H. Gangstad Ranheim
- 86' Goal E. Solberg (assist O. Holden) Ranheim
- 89' Goal G. Wesseh (assist J. Nunez) Fredrikstad
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Fredrikstad to win, 46% before kick-off
- 31%Ranheim fair odds 3.27
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.40
- 47%Fredrikstad fair odds 2.14
Most likely score 1-1 (8.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Fredrikstad to score about 0.4 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 6209 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Ranheim
Attack 1.93 · Defence 0.54
Last five: WWDLW, scored 15, conceded 10
Fredrikstad
Attack 1.86 · Defence 0.34
Last five: LLDDW, scored 6, conceded 10
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (9%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Fredrikstad has a new coach, Casper Röjkjaer, for its last 8 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Ranheim attack scores 93% more than average, against Fredrikstad defence, which lets in 66% fewer than average: 1.77 goals (an average side here: 2.68)
- Fredrikstad attack scores 86% more than average, against Ranheim defence, which lets in 46% fewer than average: 2.09 goals (an average side here: 2.09)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Ranheim 1.73, Fredrikstad 2.14.
Ratings from 100 matches for Ranheim and 100 for Fredrikstad, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Ranheim’s last 10.
- Ranheim score 2.7 a game — 84th percentile in this competition.
- Ranheim have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 32.17 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9% | 10.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 73% | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: No | 27% | 3.77 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 8.8%
- 1–2 8.3%
- 2–2 7.1%
- 2–1 6.7%
- 1–3 5.9%
- 2–3 5.1%
- 0–2 4.8%
- 3–2 4.1%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Ranheim at home
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Fredrikstad away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.44 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 69% | 1.44 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.94 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 36% | 2.77 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.27 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.58 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.01 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.61 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.38 |
| Home clean sheet | 12% | 8.48 |