Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger result
3–1 After extra time
Pors Grenland stats & fixtures · Kongsvinger stats & fixtures
Pors Grenland beat Kongsvinger 3–1 in the NM Cupen (Round of 32) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Pors Grenland 11%, the draw 16% and Kongsvinger 73%.
Goals and cards
- 23' Goal E. Gayi (assist S. Mladenovic) Pors Grenland
- 43' Yellow card A. Bakeng-Rogne Pors Grenland
- 46' Yellow card M. Kiste-Johnsen Pors Grenland
- 58' Goal E. Olawore (assist E. Nielsen) Kongsvinger
- 60' Yellow card F. Christensen Kongsvinger
- 65' Yellow card S. Ostby Pors Grenland
- 102' Goal M. Lewis Pors Grenland
- 109' Goal J. Lindvig Pors Grenland
- 118' Yellow card Kongsvinger
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 97% before kick-off, settled on 1–1 after 90 minutes
- 11%Pors Grenland fair odds 9.20
- 16%Draw fair odds 6.18
- 73%Kongsvinger fair odds 1.37
Most likely score 1-2 (8.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Kongsvinger to score about 1.8 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Pors Grenland
Attack 1.01 · Defence 0.57
Last five: DWLWL, scored 10, conceded 8
Kongsvinger
Attack 2.23 · Defence 0.47
Last five: LWLWW, scored 14, conceded 10
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-2 (9%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Kongsvinger has a new coach, Johan Vennberg, for its last 3 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Pors Grenland attack scores about the average, against Kongsvinger defence, which lets in 53% fewer than average: 1.27 goals (an average side here: 2.68)
- Kongsvinger attack scores 123% more than average, against Pors Grenland defence, which lets in 43% fewer than average: 2.67 goals (an average side here: 2.09)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Pors Grenland 1.09, Kongsvinger 2.85.
Ratings from 85 matches for Pors Grenland and 106 for Kongsvinger, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Kongsvinger score 3.2 a game — 97th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Kongsvinger’s last 10.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Pors Grenland’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 36.76 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9% | 11.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25% | 4.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.73 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–2 8.6%
- 1–3 8.2%
- 0–2 7.9%
- 0–3 7.5%
- 1–1 6.8%
- 1–4 5.8%
- 0–4 5.4%
- 0–1 4.7%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Pors Grenland at home
3–5–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Kongsvinger away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away clean sheet | 34% | 2.97 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 11% | 9.20 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 6% | 17.36 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 24.78 |