Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg result
2–3 Full time
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz stats & fixtures · Red Bull Salzburg stats & fixtures
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz lost to Red Bull Salzburg 2–3 in the Cup (Round of 16) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 3%, the draw 8% and Red Bull Salzburg 88%.
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal K. Konaté (assist E. Baidoo) Red Bull Salzburg
- 33' Goal G. Omotehara (assist L. Nussbaumer) Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 43' Goal Y. Vertessen (assist F. Krätzig) Red Bull Salzburg
- 44' Yellow card A. Zaizen Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 47' Yellow card G. Diakite Red Bull Salzburg
- 56' Goal S. Lainer (assist B. Mazurek) Red Bull Salzburg
- 59' Goal Matheus Cecchini (assist William Rodrigues) Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 62' Yellow card Gabryel Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 90+5' Yellow card H. Tabakovic Red Bull Salzburg
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: under 4.5 goals, 53% before kick-off
- 3%Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz fair odds 28.71
- 8%Draw fair odds 11.89
- 88%Red Bull Salzburg fair odds 1.13
Most likely score 0-3 (9.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Red Bull Salzburg to score about 2.9 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 8892 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Attack 1.42 · Defence 0.63
Last five: DDLLW, scored 7, conceded 5
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack 3.17 · Defence 0.34
Last five: WDWLD, scored 8, conceded 7
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.24× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-3 (10%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has a new coach, Martin Brenner, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz attack scores 42% more than average, against Red Bull Salzburg defence, which lets in 66% fewer than average: 1.04 goals (an average side here: 2.13)
- Red Bull Salzburg attack scores 217% more than average, against Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz defence, which lets in 37% fewer than average: 3.46 goals (an average side here: 1.72)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0.78, Red Bull Salzburg 3.71.
Ratings from 96 matches for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and 108 for Red Bull Salzburg, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Red Bull Salzburg win 4.9 corners a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz score 2.1 a game — 78th percentile in this competition.
- Red Bull Salzburg score 2 a game — 77th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2% | 65.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 6% | 17.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 17% | 5.74 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.91 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.13 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–3 9.6%
- 0–4 8.9%
- 0–2 7.7%
- 1–3 7.4%
- 1–4 6.9%
- 0–5 6.6%
- 1–2 6.0%
- 1–5 5.1%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Red Bull Salzburg away
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.9 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 98% | 1.02 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 97% | 1.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 97% | 1.04 |
| Home/Away double chance | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away clean sheet | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 25% | 3.95 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.47 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 12% | 8.41 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.41 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 22.64 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 3% | 28.71 |
| Home clean sheet | 2% | 41.20 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 99.01 |