SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC match stats & report

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC match statistics

• 29% Ball possession 71%
• 0.97 Expected goals (xG) 3.17
• 6 Total shots 33
• 0 Shots on target 4
• 5 Shots off target 17
• 1 Blocked shots 12
• 3 Shots inside the box 22
• 1 Corners 14
• 8 Fouls 8
• 1 Offsides 1
• 1 Yellow cards 0
• 0 Red cards 0
• 253 Passes 587
• 2 Goalkeeper saves 0

Goals and cards

1. 57' Goal J. Brekalo (assist Farid Alfa-Ruprecht) Hertha BSC
2. 63' Goal J. Eitschberger (assist O. Adewumi) Hertha BSC
3. 68' Yellow card F. Friedrichs SSV Jeddeloh

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Hertha BSC to score about 2.1 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.00× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 0-2 (10%). Confidence: Low.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• SSV Jeddeloh attack scores 23% more than average, against Hertha BSC defence, which lets in 55% fewer than average: 1.07 goals (an average side here: 1.90)
• Hertha BSC attack scores 83% more than average, against SSV Jeddeloh defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 2.78 goals (an average side here: 1.90)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on SSV Jeddeloh 0.86, Hertha BSC 2.98.

Ratings from 105 matches for SSV Jeddeloh and 109 for Hertha BSC, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Hertha BSC win 12.5 corners a game — 97th percentile in this competition.
• SSV Jeddeloh win 1.5 corners a game — 11th percentile in this competition.
• Hertha BSC score 2.2 a game — 75th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–2 9.5%
2. 0–3 9.5%
3. 1–2 8.2%
4. 1–3 8.2%
5. 0–4 7.1%
6. 1–1 6.2%
7. 1–4 6.1%
8. 0–1 5.7%