FC Rostov vs Akron match stats & report

FC Rostov vs Akron match statistics

• 61% Ball possession 39%
• 7 Total shots 1
• 5 Shots on target 0
• 2 Shots off target 1
• 0 Blocked shots 0
• 4 Corners 4
• 0 Offsides 0
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 0 Red cards 0

Goals and cards

1. 6' Goal Ronaldo (assist T. Suleymanov) FC Rostov
2. 16' Goal D. Shantaliy FC Rostov
3. 22' Goal D. Semenchuk (assist D. Shantaliy) FC Rostov
4. 46' Goal I. Komarov FC Rostov
5. 48' Goal D. Prokhin FC Rostov
6. 53' Goal A. Dmitriev Akron
7. 73' Yellow card V. Bardybakhin Akron
8. 90+1' Goal FC Rostov

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects FC Rostov to score about 0.9 more and playing at home is worth roughly 25% in this competition.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 5675 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.25× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 6 meetings: FC Rostov won 4, 0 drawn, Akron won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

• FC Rostov has a new coach, D. Kirichenko, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• FC Rostov attack scores 77% more than average, against Akron defence, which lets in 46% fewer than average: 1.79 goals (an average side here: 1.85)
• Akron attack scores 81% more than average, against FC Rostov defence, which lets in 59% fewer than average: 1.09 goals (an average side here: 1.49)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on FC Rostov 1.88, Akron 0.99.

Ratings from 119 matches for FC Rostov and 110 for Akron, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• FC Rostov score 1.8 a game — 80th percentile in this competition.
• Akron have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
• FC Rostov have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.8

FC Rostov 5.3 · Akron 3.6

Expected cards: 4.0

FC Rostov 1.7 · Akron 2.2

Expected shots on target: 9.2

FC Rostov 5.9 · Akron 3.4

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (265 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 11.9%
2. 2–0 10.0%
3. 2–1 9.9%
4. 1–0 9.2%
5. 0–0 7.0%
6. 3–0 6.3%
7. 3–1 6.2%
8. 1–2 5.2%