Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905 result
3–2 Full time
Mlada Boleslav stats & fixtures · Bohemians 1905 stats & fixtures
Mlada Boleslav beat Bohemians 1905 3–2 in the Cup (Round of 16) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mlada Boleslav 50%, the draw 26% and Bohemians 1905 24%.
Goals and cards
- 22' Goal F. Špatenka (assist J. Kolářík) Mlada Boleslav
- 54' Goal J. Kolářík (assist D. Pech) Mlada Boleslav
- 70' Goal S. Obinaya (assist P. Kareem) Bohemians 1905
- 76' Yellow card S. Cerny Bohemians 1905
- 85' Goal V. Zeman (assist P. Kareem) Bohemians 1905
- 89' Goal F. Špatenka (assist O. Karafiát) Mlada Boleslav
- 90+3' Red card P. Kareem Bohemians 1905
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Mlada Boleslav to win, 49% before kick-off
- 50%Mlada Boleslav fair odds 2.02
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.83
- 24%Bohemians 1905 fair odds 4.10
Most likely score 1-1 (12.3%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Mlada Boleslav to score about 0.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 21% in this competition.
High confidence — Fitted on 8591 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Mlada Boleslav
Attack 2.18 · Defence 0.37
Last five: DWLLW, scored 5, conceded 6
Bohemians 1905
Attack 1.86 · Defence 0.35
Last five: DWWWD, scored 9, conceded 2
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.21× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Mlada Boleslav won 0, 3 drawn, Bohemians 1905 won 3. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Mlada Boleslav attack scores 118% more than average, against Bohemians 1905 defence, which lets in 65% fewer than average: 1.71 goals (an average side here: 2.22)
- Bohemians 1905 attack scores 86% more than average, against Mlada Boleslav defence, which lets in 63% fewer than average: 1.27 goals (an average side here: 1.85)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Mlada Boleslav 1.78, Bohemians 1905 1.20.
Ratings from 118 matches for Mlada Boleslav and 109 for Bohemians 1905, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Mlada Boleslav score 2.7 a game — 90th percentile in this competition.
- Mlada Boleslav win 4.3 corners a game — 12th percentile in this competition.
- Bohemians 1905 win 2.8 corners a game — 18th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.50 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.44 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.47 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.3%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 2–0 8.0%
- 1–0 7.6%
- 1–2 6.5%
- 0–0 6.5%
- 2–2 5.8%
- 3–1 5.7%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Mlada Boleslav at home
10–0–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bohemians 1905 away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905 head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 v Mlada Boleslav | 1–0 | |
| Mlada Boleslav v Bohemians 1905 | 2–2 | |
| Bohemians 1905 v Mlada Boleslav | 0–0 | |
| Bohemians 1905 v Mlada Boleslav | 1–1 | |
| Mlada Boleslav v Bohemians 1905 | 1–2 | |
| Mlada Boleslav v Bohemians 1905 | 0–2 |
The full Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians 1905 head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 50% | 1.98 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 50% | 1.98 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 50% | 2.02 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.33 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.56 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.79 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.10 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.93 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.26 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.63 |