Marko vs Olympiakos Piraeus result
0–2 Full time
Marko stats & fixtures · Olympiakos Piraeus stats & fixtures
Marko lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0–2 in the Cup (Greek Cup - 4) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Marko 8%, the draw 20% and Olympiakos Piraeus 73%.
Goals and cards
- 15' Goal M. Saliakas (assist C. Filis) Olympiakos Piraeus
- 45' Yellow card Y. El Arabi Marko
- 71' Goal David Carmo (assist G. Puerta) Olympiakos Piraeus
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Olympiakos Piraeus to win, 73% before kick-off
- 8%Marko fair odds 12.89
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.11
- 73%Olympiakos Piraeus fair odds 1.38
Most likely score 0-2 (14.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Olympiakos Piraeus to score about 1.6 more.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 5044 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Marko
Attack 1.31 · Defence 0.56
Last five: WDWWW, scored 9, conceded 2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack 2.97 · Defence 0.35
Last five: WWWWW, scored 10, conceded 0
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.36× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (15%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Olympiakos Piraeus has a new coach, Imanol Alguacil, for its last 9 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Marko attack scores 31% more than average, against Olympiakos Piraeus defence, which lets in 65% fewer than average: 0.75 goals (an average side here: 1.65)
- Olympiakos Piraeus attack scores 197% more than average, against Marko defence, which lets in 44% fewer than average: 2.02 goals (an average side here: 1.21)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Marko 0.60, Olympiakos Piraeus 2.17.
Ratings from 98 matches for Marko and 115 for Olympiakos Piraeus, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.8 a game — 93rd percentile in this competition.
- Olympiakos Piraeus win 5.4 corners a game — 88th percentile in this competition.
- Olympiakos Piraeus have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.32 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 41% | 2.44 |
| Both teams to score: No | 59% | 1.69 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 14.8%
- 0–1 12.6%
- 0–3 10.7%
- 1–1 9.2%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 0–0 7.3%
- 1–3 6.4%
- 0–4 5.8%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Marko at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Olympiakos Piraeus away
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.24 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 27% | 3.66 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.66 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 12% | 8.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 11% | 8.77 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 8% | 12.89 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 43.67 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 2% | 48.87 |