Brabrand vs AC Horsens result
1–0 After extra time
Brabrand stats & fixtures · AC Horsens stats & fixtures
Brabrand beat AC Horsens 1–0 in the DBU Pokalen (Round of 16) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Brabrand 12%, the draw 20% and AC Horsens 68%.
Goals and cards
- 20' Yellow card S. Doua AC Horsens
- 29' Yellow card J. Bro Christensen Brabrand
- 49' Yellow card M. Kupijbida AC Horsens
- 53' Yellow card A. Moro AC Horsens
- 72' Yellow card R. Juul Brabrand
- 95' Goal M. Frandsen (assist E. Astola) Brabrand
- 116' Yellow card R. Juul Brabrand
- 116' Red card R. Juul Brabrand
- 120+3' Yellow card K. Bimpong AC Horsens
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: AC Horsens to win, 68% before kick-off, settled on 0–0 after 90 minutes
- 12%Brabrand fair odds 8.51
- 20%Draw fair odds 4.92
- 68%AC Horsens fair odds 1.47
Most likely score 0-2 (11.2%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects AC Horsens to score about 1.4 more.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 3844 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Brabrand
Attack 1.26 · Defence 0.48
Last five: WLWWD, scored 7, conceded 4
AC Horsens
Attack 2.14 · Defence 0.33
Last five: WDDWD, scored 12, conceded 7
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (11%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Brabrand has a new coach, M. Demontis, for its last 6 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- AC Horsens has a new coach, Niki Zimling, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Brabrand attack scores 26% more than average, against AC Horsens defence, which lets in 67% fewer than average: 1.02 goals (an average side here: 2.43)
- AC Horsens attack scores 114% more than average, against Brabrand defence, which lets in 52% fewer than average: 2.13 goals (an average side here: 2.07)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Brabrand 0.87, AC Horsens 2.27.
Ratings from 106 matches for Brabrand and 100 for AC Horsens, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- AC Horsens win 3 corners a game — 8th percentile in this competition.
- Brabrand score 0.8 a game — 18th percentile in this competition.
- AC Horsens score 1.8 a game — 71st percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 11.2%
- 1–2 9.7%
- 1–1 9.6%
- 0–1 8.7%
- 0–3 8.5%
- 1–3 7.3%
- 0–0 5.4%
- 0–4 4.8%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Brabrand at home
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
AC Horsens away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 88% | 1.13 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 46% | 2.19 |
| Away clean sheet | 42% | 2.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 32% | 3.12 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.12 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.62 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.51 |
| Home clean sheet | 10% | 9.70 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.27 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 25.32 |