Zimbabwe vs Congo DR match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Zimbabwe lost to Congo DR 1–2 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 28 September 2026. Congo DR had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Zimbabwe 22%, the draw 33% and Congo DR 45%.
Zimbabwe vs Congo DR match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 12 Total shots 13
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 6
- 0 Blocked shots 3
- 5 Shots inside the box 12
- 6 Corners 1
- 6 Fouls 16
- 6 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 419 Passes 427
- 85% Pass accuracy 85%
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 25' Yellow card J. Kadile Congo DR
- 30' Goal Y. Wissa Congo DR
- 45' Goal S. Moutoussamy (assist Y. Wissa) Congo DR
- 87' Yellow card S. Moutoussamy Congo DR
- 90' Goal M. Munetsi Zimbabwe
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 22%Zimbabwe fair odds 4.46
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.04
- 45%Congo DR fair odds 2.24
Most likely score 0-0 (14.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.65 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 17.70 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.82 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 41% | 2.44 |
| Both teams to score: No | 59% | 1.69 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Zimbabwe 3.7 · Congo DR 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Zimbabwe 1.8 · Congo DR 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 7.8
Zimbabwe 3.0 · Congo DR 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 7.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 8.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 9.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4426 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–0 14.7%
- 1–1 14.6%
- 0–1 14.4%
- 0–2 9.9%
- 1–0 8.8%
- 1–2 8.0%
- 2–1 5.2%
- 2–0 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Zimbabwe
Bench Martín Mapisa , N. Chadya , Peter Muduwa , D. Lunga , E. Jalai , C. Mthunzi , L. Mavunga , P. Padera , S. Fusire , A. Moffat , Daniel Msendami
Congo DR
Bench Dimitry Bertaud , N. Ndibu , Arthur Masuaku , G. Kalulu , S. Kapuadi , W. Kambwala , E. Kayembe , A. Tshibola , S. Banza , B. Cipenga , F. Mayele , T. Bongonda
Form guide
Zimbabwe at home
1–1–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 4
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Congo DR away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.9 per game
9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Zimbabwe vs Congo DR head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe v Congo DR | 0–4 | |
| Zimbabwe v Congo DR | 1–1 | |
| Congo DR v Zimbabwe | 1–2 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.46 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.45 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 19% | 5.19 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 8% | 13.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 45% | 2.24 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.24 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.77 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.79 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.80 |