Kars 36 vs Antalyaspor result

Goals and cards

1. 5' Goal D. Saric Antalyaspor
2. 90+2' Goal A. Altun Antalyaspor

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Antalyaspor to score about 2.2 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 7282 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.23× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Kars 36 has had 18 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 0-2 (13%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

• Kars 36 has a new coach, İ. Tekatlı, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Antalyaspor has a new coach, O. Özköylü, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Kars 36 attack scores 35% less than average, against Antalyaspor defence, which lets in 32% fewer than average: 0.80 goals (an average side here: 1.82)
• Antalyaspor attack scores 21% more than average, against Kars 36 defence, which lets in 48% more than average: 2.63 goals (an average side here: 1.48)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Kars 36 0.60, Antalyaspor 2.83.

Ratings from 3 matches for Kars 36 and 126 for Antalyaspor, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–2 12.9%
2. 0–3 12.2%
3. 0–4 8.6%
4. 0–1 8.4%
5. 1–2 7.8%
6. 1–3 7.4%
7. 1–1 6.2%
8. 1–4 5.2%