İnegölspor vs Sebat Gençlikspor result
1–4 Full time
İnegölspor stats & fixtures · Sebat Gençlikspor stats & fixtures
İnegölspor lost to Sebat Gençlikspor 1–4 in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave İnegölspor 36%, the draw 27% and Sebat Gençlikspor 37%.
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal G. Guventurk Sebat Gençlikspor
- 18' Penalty scored E. Altintas İnegölspor
- 32' Goal T. Karadeniz Sebat Gençlikspor
- 39' Goal T. Karadeniz Sebat Gençlikspor
- 67' Goal G. Guventurk Sebat Gençlikspor
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: double chance İnegölspor or Sebat Gençlikspor, 73% before kick-off
- 36%İnegölspor fair odds 2.75
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.71
- 37%Sebat Gençlikspor fair odds 2.73
Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 7282 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
İnegölspor
Attack 1.11 · Defence 0.85
Last five: DLWLL, scored 5, conceded 9
Sebat Gençlikspor
Attack 1.22 · Defence 0.76
Last five: WLDLL, scored 7, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.23× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- İnegölspor has a new coach, N. Erkmen, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Sebat Gençlikspor has a new coach, A. Çak, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- İnegölspor attack scores 11% more than average, against Sebat Gençlikspor defence, which lets in 24% fewer than average: 1.52 goals (an average side here: 1.82)
- Sebat Gençlikspor attack scores 22% more than average, against İnegölspor defence, which lets in 15% fewer than average: 1.53 goals (an average side here: 1.48)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on İnegölspor 1.52, Sebat Gençlikspor 1.53.
Ratings from 108 matches for İnegölspor and 95 for Sebat Gençlikspor, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 a game — 72nd percentile in this competition.
- İnegölspor score 1.8 a game — 70th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of İnegölspor’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.74 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.17 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.24 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.68 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.4%
- 1–2 8.4%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 2–2 6.4%
- 0–0 6.2%
- 0–1 5.8%
- 1–0 5.8%
- 0–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
İnegölspor
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Sebat Gençlikspor
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
İnegölspor at home
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Sebat Gençlikspor away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.73 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.75 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.59 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.61 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.08 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.47 |