Düzcespor vs Isparta 32 Spor result

Goals and cards

1. 73' Goal F. Aktay (assist I. Tankul) Isparta 32 Spor
2. 90+1' Goal Isparta 32 Spor

Why the Ghost says this

The two sides are expected to score about the same.

High confidence — Fitted on 7282 matches, and close to what the market implies.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.23× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: High.

Flags and warnings

• Düzcespor has a new coach, A. Yavuz, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Isparta 32 Spor has a new coach, K. Palaz, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Düzcespor attack scores 14% less than average, against Isparta 32 Spor defence, which lets in 13% fewer than average: 1.37 goals (an average side here: 1.82)
• Isparta 32 Spor attack scores 18% more than average, against Düzcespor defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 1.39 goals (an average side here: 1.48)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Düzcespor 1.36, Isparta 32 Spor 1.40.

Ratings from 98 matches for Düzcespor and 104 for Isparta 32 Spor, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Isparta 32 Spor score 2.1 a game — 93rd percentile in this competition.
• Isparta 32 Spor have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
• Düzcespor have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 13.6%
2. 1–2 8.4%
3. 2–1 8.2%
4. 0–0 7.9%
5. 0–1 7.3%
6. 1–0 7.1%
7. 0–2 6.2%
8. 2–0 5.9%