Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Central African Republic stats & fixtures · Burkina Faso stats & fixtures
Central African Republic lost to Burkina Faso 0–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 28 September 2026. Burkina Faso had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Central African Republic 8%, the draw 18% and Burkina Faso 74%.
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 8 Total shots 11
- 1 Shots on target 2
- 5 Shots off target 9
- 2 Blocked shots 0
- 3 Shots inside the box 7
- 7 Corners 5
- 24 Fouls 22
- 1 Offsides 5
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 288 Passes 314
- 66% Pass accuracy 73%
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 28' Yellow card E. Quarshie Central African Republic
- 33' Yellow card S. Mbaka Central African Republic
- 42' Yellow card K. Kouassi Burkina Faso
- 60' Goal A. Camara (assist A. Zagré) Burkina Faso
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 8%Central African Republic fair odds 13.17
- 18%Draw fair odds 5.48
- 74%Burkina Faso fair odds 1.35
Most likely score 0-2 (13.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.90 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.27 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.15 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.78 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected cards: 3.7
Central African Republic 1.9 · Burkina Faso 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4251 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 13.9%
- 0–1 10.9%
- 0–3 10.7%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 1–1 8.7%
- 1–3 6.9%
- 0–4 6.2%
- 0–0 6.1%
Team news & lineups
Central African Republic
Bench A. Kolimba , E. P. Takolingba Takos , S. Tatolna , J. Emmanuel Okeke , P. Guinari , S. Kaimba , J. Sabone , J. Ngoya , S. Wattel , M. Djimet , D. Mokonou , C. Yawanendji-Malipangou
Burkina Faso
Bench F. Ouédraogo , K. Nikiéma , I. Maiga , P. Gnanou , T. Axel , J. Bationo , R. Kouda , M. Ouedraogo , C. B. Doumbia , Pierre Landry Kaboré , Moise Kaboré , A. Camara
Form guide
Central African Republic at home
0–1–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 0.3 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 3
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Burkina Faso away
3–1–4 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 8
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.3 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso v Central African Republic | 4–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home/Away double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 14% | 7.32 |
| Away clean sheet | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 26% | 3.87 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.87 |
| Home clean sheet | 10% | 10.20 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 36.08 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 8% | 13.17 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 2% | 47.70 |