Ankara Demirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye result
0–1 Full time
Ankara Demirspor stats & fixtures · Nilüfer Belediye stats & fixtures
Ankara Demirspor lost to Nilüfer Belediye 0–1 in the Türkiye Kupası (3rd Round) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Ankara Demirspor 51%, the draw 27% and Nilüfer Belediye 22%.
Goals and cards
- 27' Goal (assist M. Genc) Nilüfer Belediye
- 32' Penalty missed A. Dogan (assist A. Dogan) Nilüfer Belediye
- 75' Penalty missed Ankara Demirspor
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: Ankara Demirspor to win, 51% before kick-off
- 51%Ankara Demirspor fair odds 1.94
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.75
- 22%Nilüfer Belediye fair odds 4.58
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Ankara Demirspor to score about 0.7 more and playing at home is worth roughly 23% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 7282 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Ankara Demirspor
Attack 1.17 · Defence 0.87
Last five: WWWLL, scored 19, conceded 8
Nilüfer Belediye
Attack 0.89 · Defence 0.78
Last five: DDWWW, scored 7, conceded 2
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.23× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Ankara Demirspor has a new coach, A. Kaldırım, for its last 3 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Nilüfer Belediye has a new coach, A. Bahar, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Ankara Demirspor attack scores 17% more than average, against Nilüfer Belediye defence, which lets in 22% fewer than average: 1.66 goals (an average side here: 1.82)
- Nilüfer Belediye attack scores 11% less than average, against Ankara Demirspor defence, which lets in 13% fewer than average: 1.14 goals (an average side here: 1.48)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Ankara Demirspor 1.73, Nilüfer Belediye 1.07.
Ratings from 103 matches for Ankara Demirspor and 72 for Nilüfer Belediye, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Ankara Demirspor score 2.6 a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
- Nilüfer Belediye score 2.1 a game — 93rd percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.59 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 13.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.24 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 2–0 9.1%
- 1–0 9.1%
- 0–0 7.6%
- 1–2 6.0%
- 3–1 5.6%
- 3–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Ankara Demirspor
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Nilüfer Belediye
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Ankara Demirspor at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Nilüfer Belediye away
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.94 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.06 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.90 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.43 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.99 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.58 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.65 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.79 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.57 |