Tudelano vs Zaragoza match stats & report
0–4 Full time
Tudelano lost to Zaragoza 0–4 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Tudelano 23%, the draw 27% and Zaragoza 50%.
Tudelano vs Zaragoza match statistics
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
Goals and cards
- 12' Goal Joaquin Delgado (assist Marcos Cuenca) Zaragoza
- 20' Penalty scored Pau Sans Zaragoza
- 37' Penalty scored Pau Sans Zaragoza
- 41' Goal Hugo Pinilla Zaragoza
- 47' Yellow card T. Asiku Tudelano
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Zaragoza to win, 50% before kick-off
- 23%Tudelano fair odds 4.38
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.66
- 50%Zaragoza fair odds 2.00
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Zaragoza to score about 0.6 more.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Tudelano
Attack 1.20 · Defence 0.80
Last five: DDLLW, scored 8, conceded 8
Zaragoza
Attack 1.54 · Defence 0.56
Last five: WDDWW, scored 11, conceded 5
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Tudelano has a new coach, Jonathan Risueño, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Zaragoza has a new coach, Perez Ibai Gomez, for its last 8 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Tudelano attack scores 20% more than average, against Zaragoza defence, which lets in 44% fewer than average: 1.14 goals (an average side here: 1.71)
- Zaragoza attack scores 54% more than average, against Tudelano defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 1.60 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Tudelano 1.07, Zaragoza 1.67.
Ratings from 107 matches for Tudelano and 128 for Zaragoza, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Zaragoza score 2 a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
- Tudelano have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Tudelano’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 6.98 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.58 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.22 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 0–1 9.3%
- 0–2 9.0%
- 0–0 7.9%
- 2–1 6.2%
- 1–0 5.4%
- 1–3 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Tudelano
Bench Marco Martínez , Oier Sarriegi , Ion Mora , Unai Vélez , Aimar Mutilva, Adrián Hornero , G. Sola , Eder Iribarren , David Soto Ruiz
Zaragoza
Bench Sergio Escudero , Lalo Arantegui, Jaime Tobajas , Laken Torres , Sem Westerveld , Rubén Iranzo , Ander Herrera , P. Ademo , Jaume Jardí , Sergio Beltrán Santander , Oscar Ureña , Ignacio Indiano Vazquez
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 50% | 2.00 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 50% | 2.00 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 50% | 2.00 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Away clean sheet | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.45 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.62 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.25 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.38 |
| Home clean sheet | 19% | 5.32 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.67 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.99 |