Bradford vs Peterborough match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Bradford stats & fixtures · Peterborough stats & fixtures
Bradford beat Peterborough 2–0 in the League Cup (Round of 16) on 27 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.52–1.15. Bradford had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bradford 51%, the draw 27% and Peterborough 22%.
Bradford vs Peterborough match statistics
- 58% Ball possession 42%
- 2.52 Expected goals (xG) 1.15
- 15 Total shots 16
- 8 Shots on target 3
- 4 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 6
- 12 Shots inside the box 8
- 8 Corners 6
- 13 Fouls 11
- 5 Offsides 1
- 6 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 354 Passes 349
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 5' Yellow card M. Gillesphey Bradford
- 13' Goal M. Gillesphey (assist C. Connolly) Bradford
- 20' Yellow card R. Welch Bradford
- 28' Yellow card G. Lapslie Bradford
- 31' Yellow card B. Pointon Bradford
- 34' Yellow card C. Connolly Bradford
- 59' Yellow card Lucca Mendonça Peterborough
- 67' Goal A. Phillips (assist J. Beesley) Bradford
- 73' Yellow card Harley Mills Peterborough
- 86' Yellow card Kieran Morgan Bradford
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Bradford to win, 50% before kick-off
- 51%Bradford fair odds 1.97
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.68
- 22%Peterborough fair odds 4.53
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Bradford to score about 0.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 21% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 12206 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Bradford
Attack 1.21 · Defence 0.47
Last five: DDWDW, scored 6, conceded 0
Peterborough
Attack 1.44 · Defence 0.67
Last five: DLDWW, scored 11, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.21× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 3 meetings: Bradford won 2, 1 drawn, Peterborough won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Bradford has a new coach, M. Duff, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Peterborough has a new coach, Robert William Savage, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Bradford attack scores 21% more than average, against Peterborough defence, which lets in 33% fewer than average: 1.61 goals (an average side here: 1.99)
- Peterborough attack scores 44% more than average, against Bradford defence, which lets in 53% fewer than average: 1.12 goals (an average side here: 1.65)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Bradford 1.68, Peterborough 1.05.
Ratings from 165 matches for Bradford and 171 for Peterborough, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Bradford win 7.9 corners a game — 97th percentile in this competition.
- Peterborough win 5.8 corners a game — 84th percentile in this competition.
- Peterborough have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.05 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.19 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 1–0 9.5%
- 2–0 9.2%
- 0–0 8.0%
- 1–2 6.0%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 0–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Bradford
Bench A. Baldwin , H. Cartwright , C. Dawson , K. Jackson , H. Matthews , Kieran Morgan , A. Phillips , George Christopher John Pratt , W. Swan
Peterborough
Bench P. Sykut , Bolu Shofowoke , L. Kelly , H. Jones , M. Garbett , Declan Firth, J. Dornelly , C. Andeng Ndi , E. Weir
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Bradford at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 7.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.9 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Peterborough away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bradford vs Peterborough head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford v Peterborough | 2–0 | |
| Bradford v Peterborough | 2–0 | |
| Peterborough v Bradford | 1–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.03 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.85 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.53 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.55 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.19 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.20 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.53 |