SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 match stats & report

SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 match statistics

• 74% Ball possession 26%
• 1.69 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
• 26 Total shots 7
• 6 Shots on target 2
• 14 Shots off target 3
• 6 Blocked shots 2
• 16 Shots inside the box 3
• 18 Corners 2
• 11 Fouls 7
• 2 Offsides 1
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 0 Red cards 0
• 649 Passes 238
• 0 Goalkeeper saves 6

Goals and cards

1. 6' Goal L. Kehl SV Darmstadt 98
2. 53' Yellow card M. Smit SV Darmstadt 98
3. 56' Goal M. Smit (assist L. Duijvestijn) SV Darmstadt 98
4. 72' Yellow card R. Petretta SV Darmstadt 98
5. 90+3' Yellow card L. Gunther SV Elversberg

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects SV Elversberg to score about 1.1 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 5855 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last meeting: SV Elversberg won 0, 0 drawn, SV Darmstadt 98 won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 2-1 (10%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• SV Elversberg attack scores 49% more than average, against SV Darmstadt 98 defence, which lets in 30% fewer than average: 2.16 goals (an average side here: 2.05)
• SV Darmstadt 98 attack scores 20% more than average, against SV Elversberg defence, which lets in 38% fewer than average: 1.29 goals (an average side here: 1.74)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on SV Elversberg 2.28, SV Darmstadt 98 1.17.

Ratings from 106 matches for SV Elversberg and 109 for SV Darmstadt 98, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• SV Elversberg score 2.8 a game — 92nd percentile in this competition.
• SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.4 a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
• SV Elversberg win 6.8 corners a game — 80th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 2–1 9.7%
2. 1–1 9.6%
3. 2–0 8.2%
4. 3–1 7.3%
5. 3–0 6.3%
6. 1–0 6.1%
7. 2–2 5.7%
8. 1–2 5.0%