Manresa vs Sant Andreu result
2–2 After penalties
Manresa stats & fixtures · Sant Andreu stats & fixtures
Manresa drew with Sant Andreu 2–2 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Manresa 32%, the draw 29% and Sant Andreu 39%.
Goals and cards
- 78' Yellow card J. De Leon Sant Andreu
- 80' Yellow card T. Asiku Sant Andreu
- 93' Goal P. Agudin (assist S. Armero) Sant Andreu
- 105' Goal A. G. Garcia (assist T. Asiku) Sant Andreu
- 114' Yellow card D. Torices Sant Andreu
- 116' Penalty scored D. Momoh Manresa
- 119' Goal R. Munells Manresa
- 120+1' Yellow card R. Martinez Elvir Manresa
- 120+2' Yellow card A. G. Garcia Sant Andreu
Penalty shoot-out: 1–4
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: double chance Manresa or Sant Andreu, 71% before kick-off, settled on 0–0 after 90 minutes
- 32%Manresa fair odds 3.17
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.40
- 39%Sant Andreu fair odds 2.56
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 26894 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Manresa
Attack 1.12 · Defence 0.75
Last five: WDDWL, scored 7, conceded 4
Sant Andreu
Attack 1.42 · Defence 0.65
Last five: LDLDW, scored 7, conceded 8
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 2 meetings: Manresa won 0, 0 drawn, Sant Andreu won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Manresa has a new coach, Sergi Trullàs, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Sant Andreu has a new coach, Ignacio Gonzalez Saenz Jose, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Manresa attack scores 12% more than average, against Sant Andreu defence, which lets in 35% fewer than average: 1.25 goals (an average side here: 1.71)
- Sant Andreu attack scores 42% more than average, against Manresa defence, which lets in 25% fewer than average: 1.37 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Manresa 1.23, Sant Andreu 1.39.
Ratings from 102 matches for Manresa and 108 for Sant Andreu, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Sant Andreu score 0.4 a game — 11th percentile in this competition.
- Manresa have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Manresa’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.73 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.24 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.21 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 1–2 8.7%
- 0–1 8.5%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 1–0 7.3%
- 0–2 7.0%
- 2–0 5.5%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Manresa at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Sant Andreu away
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Manresa vs Sant Andreu head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sant Andreu v Manresa | 3–1 | |
| Sant Andreu v Manresa | 3–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.47 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.56 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.88 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.42 |
| Home clean sheet | 25% | 4.02 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.24 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.08 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.14 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.89 |