RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas result
1–3 After extra time
RSD Alcalá stats & fixtures · Las Palmas stats & fixtures
RSD Alcalá lost to Las Palmas 1–3 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave RSD Alcalá 13%, the draw 23% and Las Palmas 64%.
Goals and cards
- 18' Yellow card J. Jimenez RSD Alcalá
- 28' Yellow card A. Perez RSD Alcalá
- 49' Goal Kirian Rodríguez (assist A. Rodriguez) Las Palmas
- 61' Yellow card M. Lopez RSD Alcalá
- 67' Yellow card Kirian Rodríguez Las Palmas
- 67' Goal L. Simon RSD Alcalá
- 71' Yellow card RSD Alcalá
- 78' Yellow card Ato RSD Alcalá
- 95' Yellow card RSD Alcalá
- 95' Goal Kirian Rodríguez Las Palmas
- 101' Yellow card P. Moya RSD Alcalá
- 105' Goal Manu Fuster (assist Jefté Betancor) Las Palmas
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: Las Palmas to win, 64% before kick-off, settled on 1–1 after 90 minutes
- 13%RSD Alcalá fair odds 7.52
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.35
- 64%Las Palmas fair odds 1.57
Most likely score 0-2 (11.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Las Palmas to score about 1.2 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 26915 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
RSD Alcalá
Attack 1.12 · Defence 0.83
Last five: LDDLL, scored 2, conceded 8
Las Palmas
Attack 1.75 · Defence 0.50
Last five: WLLDL, scored 6, conceded 11
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (12%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Las Palmas has a new coach, Juan Manuel Rodríguez, for its last 2 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- RSD Alcalá attack scores 12% more than average, against Las Palmas defence, which lets in 50% fewer than average: 0.96 goals (an average side here: 1.71)
- Las Palmas attack scores 75% more than average, against RSD Alcalá defence, which lets in 17% fewer than average: 1.89 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on RSD Alcalá 0.83, Las Palmas 2.01.
Ratings from 104 matches for RSD Alcalá and 127 for Las Palmas, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Las Palmas score 1.6 a game — 80th percentile in this competition.
- Las Palmas win 3.3 corners a game — 21st percentile in this competition.
- RSD Alcalá score 1.8 a game — 74th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.28 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.12 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.01 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 11.8%
- 1–1 11.0%
- 0–1 10.5%
- 1–2 9.8%
- 0–3 7.9%
- 0–0 7.1%
- 1–3 6.6%
- 2–2 4.1%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
RSD Alcalá at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Las Palmas away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.05 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.68 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 56% | 1.77 |
| Away clean sheet | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.48 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.76 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 36% | 2.76 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.06 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 20% | 4.95 |
| Home clean sheet | 13% | 7.50 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.52 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 19.28 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 22.72 |