Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Gimnástica Segoviana stats & fixtures · Cultural Leonesa stats & fixtures
Gimnástica Segoviana lost to Cultural Leonesa 0–1 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Gimnástica Segoviana 27%, the draw 29% and Cultural Leonesa 44%.
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa match statistics
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 1 Red cards 1
Goals and cards
- 30' Yellow card Sergio Orviz Gimnástica Segoviana
- 31' Goal Antón Escobar Cultural Leonesa
- 36' Red card B. Țîru Cultural Leonesa
- 41' Yellow card Samba Gnamadio Gimnástica Segoviana
- 69' Yellow card A. Ndiaye Cultural Leonesa
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 91% before kick-off
- 27%Gimnástica Segoviana fair odds 3.71
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.47
- 44%Cultural Leonesa fair odds 2.26
Most likely score 1-1 (13.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Cultural Leonesa to score about 0.4 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 26887 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Gimnástica Segoviana
Attack 1.14 · Defence 0.80
Last five: DDDDW, scored 8, conceded 6
Cultural Leonesa
Attack 1.41 · Defence 0.61
Last five: LDWLD, scored 8, conceded 8
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Cultural Leonesa has a new coach, Castro Jandro, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Gimnástica Segoviana attack scores 14% more than average, against Cultural Leonesa defence, which lets in 39% fewer than average: 1.17 goals (an average side here: 1.71)
- Cultural Leonesa attack scores 41% more than average, against Gimnástica Segoviana defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 1.46 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Gimnástica Segoviana 1.13, Cultural Leonesa 1.51.
Ratings from 108 matches for Gimnástica Segoviana and 126 for Cultural Leonesa, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.9 a game — 10th percentile in this competition.
- Cultural Leonesa score 0.5 a game — 13th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Cultural Leonesa’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.81 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.45 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.19 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.8%
- 0–1 9.2%
- 1–2 9.2%
- 0–0 8.7%
- 0–2 8.1%
- 2–1 6.9%
- 1–0 6.5%
- 2–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Gimnástica Segoviana
Bench Fernando Llorente , Miguel Río , Luhe Brun , Iván Maroto, Arnau Rafús , Rubén Sanchidrián , David Sánchez , Duque, Diego Lorenzo , Jose Luis Huertas Gomez
Cultural Leonesa
Bench Hugo García , Guzman Ortega , Bicho , José Luis Aranda , Miquel Parera , Róber Pier , Lucas Martín , Sergio Maestre , Dani Queipo , Victor Pastor , Álex Oviedo
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Gimnástica Segoviana at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cultural Leonesa away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 32% | 3.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.20 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.71 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.37 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.51 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.19 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.88 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.43 |