Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes result
3–3 After penalties
Atlético Tordesillas stats & fixtures · Mirandes stats & fixtures
Atlético Tordesillas drew with Mirandes 3–3 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atlético Tordesillas 17%, the draw 26% and Mirandes 56%.
Goals and cards
- 6' Goal Chatun Atlético Tordesillas
- 29' Goal Chatun Atlético Tordesillas
- 49' Goal A. Conejo Atlético Tordesillas
- 61' Yellow card Chatun Atlético Tordesillas
- 69' Goal Riki Mirandes
- 76' Yellow card Riki Mirandes
- 81' Goal A. Arambarri Mirandes
- 85' Yellow card A. Conejo Atlético Tordesillas
- 87' Penalty missed Riki (assist Riki) Mirandes
- 90' Yellow card A. Arambarri Mirandes
- 90+6' Goal J. Gonzalez Mirandes
- 104' Yellow card Atlético Tordesillas
- 105+1' Yellow card J. Castano Atlético Tordesillas
- 110' Yellow card A. Verde Mirandes
- 119' Yellow card F. Sanchez Atlético Tordesillas
- 120+2' Yellow card A. Uzkudun Mirandes
- 120+2' Yellow card F. Manja Atlético Tordesillas
- 120+3' Yellow card Atlético Tordesillas
- 120+4' Yellow card Atlético Tordesillas
- 120+6' Penalty missed D. de la Iglesia (assist D. de la Iglesia) Mirandes
Penalty shoot-out: 2–4
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: Mirandes to win, 56% before kick-off
- 17%Atlético Tordesillas fair odds 5.72
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.78
- 56%Mirandes fair odds 1.78
Most likely score 1-1 (12.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Mirandes to score about 0.9 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 26915 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Atlético Tordesillas
Attack 1.01 · Defence 0.77
Last five: DWDWL, scored 6, conceded 2
Mirandes
Attack 1.64 · Defence 0.56
Last five: WLDLW, scored 4, conceded 4
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Atlético Tordesillas attack scores about the average, against Mirandes defence, which lets in 44% fewer than average: 0.98 goals (an average side here: 1.71)
- Mirandes attack scores 64% more than average, against Atlético Tordesillas defence, which lets in 23% fewer than average: 1.64 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Atlético Tordesillas 0.88, Mirandes 1.73.
Ratings from 114 matches for Atlético Tordesillas and 131 for Mirandes, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Mirandes’s last 10.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Atlético Tordesillas’s last 10.
- Atlético Tordesillas have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.74 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.02 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.40 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 1.99 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.6%
- 0–1 11.2%
- 0–2 11.0%
- 1–2 9.7%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 0–3 6.3%
- 1–3 5.6%
- 1–0 5.0%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Atlético Tordesillas at home
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Mirandes away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.71 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 44% | 2.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away clean sheet | 41% | 2.42 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.09 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.98 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.53 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.72 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.37 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.69 |