Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch match stats & report

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch match statistics

• 49% Ball possession 51%
• 9 Total shots 16
• 4 Shots on target 9
• 4 Shots off target 6
• 1 Blocked shots 1
• 5 Shots inside the box 9
• 4 Corners 6
• 18 Fouls 14
• 3 Offsides 3
• 2 Yellow cards 0
• 341 Passes 359
• 76% Pass accuracy 82%
• 5 Goalkeeper saves 1

Goals and cards

1. 14' Goal K. Lever (assist Jeffrey Buitenweg) Rijnsburgse Boys
2. 43' Goal J. De Vries (assist Devon Decorte) Den Bosch
3. 59' Goal Jeffrey Buitenweg (assist Steff van Rooijen) Rijnsburgse Boys
4. 64' Goal L. Hoffman Den Bosch
5. 77' Goal R. Wolters (assist Devon Decorte) Den Bosch
6. 78' Goal Chahine Van Bohemen (assist Ilias Kariouh) Rijnsburgse Boys
7. 83' Goal Jeffry Fortes (assist S. Barglan) Den Bosch
8. 86' Yellow card Sel Bastmeijer Rijnsburgse Boys
9. 88' Yellow card Mitch van Kempen Rijnsburgse Boys
10. 90' Yellow card Bram Ros Rijnsburgse Boys
11. 90+1' Penalty scored Devon Decorte Den Bosch

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Rijnsburgse Boys to score about 0.9 more and playing at home is worth roughly 18% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 5328 matches, with no market price to check against.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (9%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

• Rijnsburgse Boys has a new coach, Rene van der Kooij, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
• Den Bosch has a new coach, Bart Schreuder, for its last 4 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Rijnsburgse Boys attack scores 27% more than average, against Den Bosch defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 2.14 goals (an average side here: 2.10)
• Den Bosch attack scores about the average, against Rijnsburgse Boys defence, which lets in 18% fewer than average: 1.45 goals (an average side here: 1.78)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Rijnsburgse Boys 2.24, Den Bosch 1.35.

Ratings from 109 matches for Rijnsburgse Boys and 124 for Den Bosch, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Rijnsburgse Boys score 2.7 a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
• Den Bosch win 6 corners a game — 88th percentile in this competition.
• Rijnsburgse Boys win 4 corners a game — 31st percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 9.4%
2. 2–1 9.3%
3. 3–1 7.0%
4. 2–0 6.9%
5. 2–2 6.3%
6. 1–2 5.6%
7. 3–0 5.1%
8. 1–0 5.1%