Barendrecht vs Waalwijk match stats & report

Barendrecht vs Waalwijk match statistics

• 52% Ball possession 48%
• 16 Total shots 20
• 5 Shots on target 7
• 5 Shots off target 11
• 6 Blocked shots 2
• 8 Shots inside the box 13
• 9 Corners 7
• 14 Fouls 16
• 2 Offsides 0
• 6 Yellow cards 3
• 535 Passes 505
• 79% Pass accuracy 79%
• 5 Goalkeeper saves 3

Goals and cards

1. 43' Yellow card Yorem van der Veen Waalwijk
2. 43' Yellow card F. Hooreman Barendrecht
3. 43' Yellow card Redouan Omar Ouali Barendrecht
4. 60' Yellow card Brent Vugts Barendrecht
5. 67' Goal R. Fage (assist J. Nap) Waalwijk
6. 76' Yellow card Loek Postma Waalwijk
7. 82' Goal Aness Serghini (assist Jay Brand) Barendrecht
8. 84' Yellow card Constantijn Schop Barendrecht
9. 86' Yellow card Timo de Graaf Barendrecht
10. 97' Goal Jesse van de Haar (assist R. Kuijpers) Waalwijk
11. 102' Yellow card Jesse van de Haar Waalwijk
12. 109' Yellow card Bradley van der Meer Barendrecht
13. 115' Goal Timo de Graaf (assist Joshua Kieboom) Barendrecht

Penalty shoot-out: 1–4

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Waalwijk to score about 0.5 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (9%). Confidence: Low.

Flags and warnings

• Barendrecht has a new coach, Dogan Corneille, for its last match. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Barendrecht attack scores 12% more than average, against Waalwijk defence, which lets in 29% fewer than average: 1.67 goals (an average side here: 2.10)
• Waalwijk attack scores 27% more than average, against Barendrecht defence, which lets in 8% fewer than average: 2.07 goals (an average side here: 1.78)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Barendrecht 1.61, Waalwijk 2.13.

Ratings from 109 matches for Barendrecht and 119 for Waalwijk, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Barendrecht have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
• Barendrecht win 9 corners a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
• Waalwijk win 7 corners a game — 96th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 9.2%
2. 1–2 8.7%
3. 2–2 7.0%
4. 2–1 6.6%
5. 1–3 6.2%
6. 0–2 5.4%
7. 2–3 4.9%
8. 0–1 4.0%