Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Kyrgyzstan stats & fixtures · Lebanon stats & fixtures
Kyrgyzstan beat Lebanon 3–1 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 4 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Kyrgyzstan 43%, the draw 33% and Lebanon 24%.
Goals and cards
- 13' Yellow card Kyrgyzstan
- 19' Goal Odilzhon Abdurakhmanov Kyrgyzstan
- 26' Yellow card Kyrgyzstan
- 31' Goal A. Shukurov Kyrgyzstan
- 55' Yellow card Kyrgyzstan
- 62' Goal P. Budib Lebanon
- 64' Goal A. Shukurov Kyrgyzstan
- 75' Yellow card Kyrgyzstan
- 90+1' Yellow card Lebanon
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 43%Kyrgyzstan fair odds 2.33
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.07
- 24%Lebanon fair odds 4.09
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.06 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 15.63 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14% | 7.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36% | 2.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Kyrgyzstan 4.0 · Lebanon 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Kyrgyzstan 1.8 · Lebanon 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.0
Kyrgyzstan 3.8 · Lebanon 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 6.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 13.7%
- 1–0 13.2%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 0–1 8.8%
- 2–1 8.1%
- 1–2 5.7%
- 0–2 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Kyrgyzstan
Bench Kurmanbek Nurlanbekov , Sultan Chomoev , Said Datsiev , Arslan Bekberdinov , Aitenir Balbakov , Ermek Kenzhebaev , Nadzhibullo Alizhanov , Valeriy Murzakov , Nurdoolot Stalbekov , Amir Zhaparov , Maksat Alygulov , Sirozhiddin Astanakulov
Lebanon
Bench P. Budib , Walid Shour , Ali Sabeh , Ali Al-Rida Ismail, J. Smaira , Hassan Kaafarani , Jimmy Kazan , Hasan Srour , Ali El-Fadl , Ali Kassas , Ralph Khoury , Khalil Bader
Form guide
Kyrgyzstan at home
2–2–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Lebanon away
3–0–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 3.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 4
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 57% | 1.75 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.46 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.75 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.56 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home clean sheet | 42% | 2.40 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.84 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.48 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.09 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.43 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 4.99 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.72 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.90 |