Tajikistan vs Palestine match stats & report

2–4 Full time

Friendlies · Friendly International

Tajikistan stats & fixtures · Palestine stats & fixtures

Tajikistan lost to Palestine 2–4 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 28 September 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Tajikistan 31%, the draw 35% and Palestine 34%.

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 0-0 (15.7%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals84%1.19
Over 1.5 goals60%1.66
Over 2.5 goals31%3.18
Over 3.5 goals14%7.30
Over 4.5 goals5%20.10
Under 0.5 goals16%6.35
Under 1.5 goals40%2.52
Under 2.5 goals69%1.46
Under 3.5 goals86%1.16
Under 4.5 goals95%1.05
Both teams to score: Yes41%2.44
Both teams to score: No59%1.69

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.6

Tajikistan 4.6 · Palestine 4.1

Total cornersOverUnder
6.574%26%
7.562%38%
8.549%51%
9.537%63%
10.526%74%

Expected cards: 3.7

Tajikistan 1.8 · Palestine 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
1.587%13%
2.570%30%
3.550%50%
4.531%69%
5.517%83%

Expected shots on target: 7.7

Tajikistan 3.3 · Palestine 4.5

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.577%23%
6.564%36%
7.550%50%
8.537%63%
9.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4426 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 0–0 15.7%
  2. 1–1 15.3%
  3. 0–1 12.4%
  4. 1–0 11.6%
  5. 0–2 7.1%
  6. 1–2 6.8%
  7. 2–1 6.5%
  8. 2–0 6.4%

Form guide

Tajikistan at home

2–2–1 in 5 matches

Scored
1.8 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 5
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
2.5 per game

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Palestine away

3–3–3 in 9 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 9
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
9.0 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home/Draw double chance 66% 1.52
Home +1.5 handicap 86% 1.16
Draw/Away double chance 69% 1.45
Away +1.5 handicap 88% 1.14
Home/Away double chance 65% 1.53
Home Over 0.5 team goals 62% 1.62
Away Over 0.5 team goals 64% 1.57
Home -1.5 handicap 12% 8.31
Home Over 1.5 team goals 25% 4.03
Away Over 1.5 team goals 27% 3.73
Away -1.5 handicap 14% 7.30
Home Over 2.5 team goals 7% 13.79
Away Over 2.5 team goals 8% 12.16
Away +0.5 handicap 69% 1.45
Home +0.5 handicap 66% 1.52
Away clean sheet 38% 2.60
Home clean sheet 36% 2.75
Away -0.5 handicap 34% 2.93
Home -0.5 handicap 31% 3.20