Cuarte vs Girona result
0–2 Full time
Cuarte lost to Girona 0–2 in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 27 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cuarte 4%, the draw 15% and Girona 80%.
Goals and cards
- 23' Goal Abel Ruiz (assist L. Kourouma) Girona
- 29' Yellow card G. Jordana Girona
- 35' Yellow card T. Asiku Cuarte
- 60' Goal Oleksandr Pishchur (assist D. van de Beek) Girona
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Girona to win, 80% before kick-off
- 4%Cuarte fair odds 23.25
- 15%Draw fair odds 6.50
- 80%Girona fair odds 1.25
Most likely score 0-2 (16.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Girona to score about 2.0 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 26915 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Cuarte
Attack 0.79 · Defence 0.78
Last five: WDDWL, scored 10, conceded 7
Girona
Attack 2.22 · Defence 0.45
Last five: WWDDW, scored 10, conceded 2
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (17%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Cuarte attack scores 21% less than average, against Girona defence, which lets in 55% fewer than average: 0.61 goals (an average side here: 1.71)
- Girona attack scores 122% more than average, against Cuarte defence, which lets in 22% fewer than average: 2.24 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Cuarte 0.44, Girona 2.41.
Ratings from 116 matches for Cuarte and 123 for Girona, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Girona win 3.4 corners a game — 26th percentile in this competition.
- Girona have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.24 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 15.20 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 33% | 3.00 |
| Both teams to score: No | 67% | 1.50 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 16.8%
- 0–3 13.5%
- 0–1 13.1%
- 0–4 8.1%
- 1–2 7.4%
- 1–1 7.0%
- 0–0 6.6%
- 1–3 6.0%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Cuarte at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Girona away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home/Away double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Away clean sheet | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.71 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.40 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 20% | 5.08 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 20% | 5.08 |
| Home clean sheet | 9% | 11.12 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 7% | 13.64 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 4% | 23.25 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 96.13 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 109.14 |