Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt match stats & report

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt match statistics

• 48% Ball possession 52%
• 3.04 Expected goals (xG) 1.74
• 15 Total shots 12
• 6 Shots on target 5
• 7 Shots off target 4
• 2 Blocked shots 3
• 10 Shots inside the box 7
• 5 Corners 3
• 9 Fouls 15
• 1 Offsides 2
• 0 Yellow cards 4
• 0 Red cards 0
• 420 Passes 464
• 2 Goalkeeper saves 5

Goals and cards

1. 17' Yellow card N. Collins Eintracht Frankfurt
2. 33' Yellow card M. Götze Eintracht Frankfurt
3. 56' Goal R. Koch (assist J. Burkardt) Eintracht Frankfurt
4. 69' Yellow card J. Maluze Eintracht Frankfurt
5. 71' Goal J. Burkardt (assist M. Götze) Eintracht Frankfurt
6. 75' Goal Y. Ebnoutalib (assist F. Chaibi) Eintracht Frankfurt
7. 79' Goal T. Moffi Hamburger SV
8. 84' Yellow card R. Onyedika Eintracht Frankfurt

Why the Ghost says this

The two sides are expected to score about the same. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 5852 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.18× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 2 meetings: Hamburger SV won 1, 1 drawn, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (10%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Hamburger SV attack scores 47% more than average, against Eintracht Frankfurt defence, which lets in 41% fewer than average: 1.78 goals (an average side here: 2.05)
• Eintracht Frankfurt attack scores 84% more than average, against Hamburger SV defence, which lets in 43% fewer than average: 1.84 goals (an average side here: 1.74)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Hamburger SV 1.78, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.84.

Ratings from 106 matches for Hamburger SV and 108 for Eintracht Frankfurt, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Eintracht Frankfurt score 2.9 a game — 91st percentile in this competition.
• Eintracht Frankfurt win 3.4 corners a game — 14th percentile in this competition.
• Hamburger SV score 1.4 a game — 23rd percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 9.9%
2. 1–2 8.1%
3. 2–1 7.8%
4. 2–2 7.2%
5. 1–3 5.0%
6. 3–1 4.6%
7. 0–2 4.5%
8. 2–3 4.4%