FF Jaro vs PK-35 match stats & report
1–0 Full time
FF Jaro beat PK-35 1–0 in the Veikkausliiga (Final) on 25 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.20–0.61. FF Jaro had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave FF Jaro 37%, the draw 28% and PK-35 35%.
FF Jaro vs PK-35 match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 1.20 Expected goals (xG) 0.61
- 15 Total shots 8
- 5 Shots on target 1
- 4 Shots off target 5
- 6 Blocked shots 2
- 10 Shots inside the box 4
- 3 Corners 4
- 12 Fouls 12
- 3 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 388 Passes 363
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 51' Yellow card F. O. Ness FF Jaro
- 53' Yellow card T. Andberg PK-35
- 72' Goal (assist G. Kocsis) FF Jaro
- 81' Yellow card G. Kocsis FF Jaro
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: double chance FF Jaro or PK-35, 72% before kick-off
- 37%FF Jaro fair odds 2.73
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.51
- 35%PK-35 fair odds 2.86
Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same and playing at home is worth roughly 21% in this competition.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
FF Jaro
Attack 0.79 · Defence 1.11
Last five: DDWDD, scored 5, conceded 4
PK-35
Attack 0.87 · Defence 1.03
Last five: DWLDL, scored 4, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.21× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last meeting: FF Jaro won 0, 1 drawn, PK-35 won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- A final. Not measured, so it does not move the numbers. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- FF Jaro is new to this competition: rated from 57 matches, starting where new sides usually land. In the numbers
- PK-35 is new to this competition: rated from 1 matches, starting where new sides usually land. In the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- FF Jaro attack scores 21% less than average, against PK-35 defence, which lets in 3% more than average: 1.27 goals (an average side here: 1.55)
- PK-35 attack scores 13% less than average, against FF Jaro defence, which lets in 11% more than average: 1.25 goals (an average side here: 1.28)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on FF Jaro 1.28, PK-35 1.25.
Ratings from 57 matches for FF Jaro and 1 for PK-35, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Both teams have scored in 7 of FF Jaro’s last 10.
- PK-35 win 4 corners a game — 31st percentile in this competition.
- FF Jaro have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.89 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.09 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.6%
- 1–0 9.1%
- 0–0 9.0%
- 0–1 8.8%
- 2–1 8.3%
- 1–2 8.0%
- 2–0 6.6%
- 0–2 6.3%
Team news & lineups
FF Jaro
Bench J. Myrevik , Joas Snellman , F. Kass , T. Soderstrom , A. Vidjeskog , V. Lofs , J. Remesaho , A. Sabriye , J. Vikstrom
PK-35
Bench L. Lokake , E. Kawakita , J. Tapani , M. Tolonen , I. Sadik , O. Salmensuu , Ayuub Abdi, A. Kivela , N. Ndaziramiye
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
FF Jaro at home
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.7 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
PK-35 away
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
44% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FF Jaro vs PK-35 head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| PK-35 v FF Jaro | 1–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.73 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.82 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.86 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.47 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.59 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 6.00 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.21 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.60 |