Germany vs Greece match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Germany lost to Greece 0–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on 27 September 2026. Germany had 76% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Germany 74%, the draw 17% and Greece 9%.
Germany vs Greece match statistics
- 76% Ball possession 24%
- 16 Total shots 8
- 5 Shots on target 1
- 9 Shots off target 6
- 2 Blocked shots 1
- 8 Shots inside the box 5
- 8 Corners 2
- 12 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 729 Passes 231
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 17' Yellow card Y. Bisseck Germany
- 18' Yellow card G. Vagiannidis Greece
- 22' Yellow card K. Karetsas Greece
- 57' Yellow card P. Retsos Greece
- 68' Yellow card D. Kourbelis Greece
- 74' Goal D. Kourbelis Greece
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 74%Germany fair odds 1.35
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.81
- 9%Greece fair odds 11.75
Most likely score 2-0 (11.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.17 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.83 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.04 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Germany 5.3 · Greece 3.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Germany 1.5 · Greece 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Germany 5.5 · Greece 2.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4418 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.6%
- 3–0 9.8%
- 2–1 9.1%
- 1–0 8.3%
- 1–1 8.2%
- 3–1 7.7%
- 4–0 6.2%
- 4–1 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Germany
Bench J. Burkardt , N. Amiri , F. Dahmen , Yannick Engelhardt , C. Fuhrich , S. Gnabry , Maximilian Rosenfelder , A. Stach , Philipp Treu , F. Wirtz , Marc-André Ter Stegen , Hennes Behrens
Greece
Bench O. Vlachodimos , M. Saliakas , A. Ntoi , C. Mouzakitis , G. Michailidis , G. Masouras , C. Mandas , Georgios Kyriakopoulos , D. Kourbelis , Charalampos Kostoulas , F. Ioannidis , T. Douvikas
Form guide
Germany at home
7–0–1 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 3.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 8
- Corners
- 8.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.5 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Greece away
2–3–2 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 7
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Germany vs Greece head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Germany v Greece | 2–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home clean sheet | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.89 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 26% | 3.89 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 19% | 5.38 |
| Away clean sheet | 8% | 12.53 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 9% | 11.75 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 22.09 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 37.82 |