Burgos vs Eldense match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Burgos beat Eldense 1–0 in the Segunda División on 27 September 2026. Eldense had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Burgos 53%, the draw 29% and Eldense 17%.
Burgos vs Eldense match statistics
- 48% Ball possession 52%
- 6 Total shots 11
- 2 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 5
- 0 Blocked shots 2
- 5 Shots inside the box 6
- 2 Corners 5
- 15 Fouls 14
- 4 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 394 Passes 418
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 32' Yellow card Alex Serradell Eldense
- 45' Goal David González (assist Álex Forés) Burgos
- 55' Yellow card U. Vencedor Burgos
- 86' Yellow card S. Lencinas Burgos
- 87' Yellow card Juan Larios Eldense
- 90+1' Yellow card Oier Luengo Burgos
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 53%Burgos fair odds 1.87
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.43
- 17%Eldense fair odds 5.74
Most likely score 1-0 (14.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.18 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.30 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.77 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Burgos 4.2 · Eldense 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.9
Burgos 2.1 · Eldense 2.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 5.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Burgos 4.4 · Eldense 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (139 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 14.4%
- 1–1 13.4%
- 0–0 11.8%
- 2–0 11.6%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 0–1 6.2%
- 3–0 5.6%
- 3–1 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Burgos
Bench Fermin Garcia , P. Galdames , S. Lencinas , Álex , Brais Martínez , I. Martinez , Víctor Mollejo , M. Monedero , Curro Sánchez , Saúl del Cerro , Mario Cantero
Eldense
Bench Guillermo Macho , Marcos Bustillo , Borja Calvo , A. Ibarrondo , Javi Martínez , Manu Nieto , Juanpa , Dinis Rodrigues , Iker Recio , W. Rubio , J. Yanda
Form guide
Burgos at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Eldense away
1–0–6 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Burgos vs Eldense head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense v Burgos | 0–0 | |
| Burgos v Eldense | 1–0 | |
| Burgos v Eldense | 1–2 | |
| Eldense v Burgos | 2–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.60 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.87 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home clean sheet | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.34 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.53 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.53 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.74 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 22.74 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 17.29 |