Denmark vs Wales match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Denmark beat Wales 2–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on 27 September 2026. Denmark had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Denmark 71%, the draw 21% and Wales 8%.
Denmark vs Wales match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 20 Total shots 10
- 4 Shots on target 3
- 9 Shots off target 4
- 7 Blocked shots 3
- 12 Shots inside the box 5
- 2 Corners 4
- 10 Fouls 17
- 5 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 580 Passes 356
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 35' Yellow card J. Mæhle Denmark
- 48' Yellow card C. Mepham Wales
- 53' Own goal B. Davies Denmark
- 65' Yellow card B. Johnson Wales
- 66' Goal G. Isaksen Denmark
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 71%Denmark fair odds 1.40
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.87
- 8%Wales fair odds 12.52
Most likely score 2-0 (15.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.66 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.32 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 39% | 2.53 |
| Both teams to score: No | 61% | 1.65 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Denmark 5.7 · Wales 3.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Denmark 1.6 · Wales 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
Denmark 4.5 · Wales 2.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 7.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 8.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 9.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4412 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 15.2%
- 1–0 13.5%
- 3–0 10.5%
- 1–1 9.5%
- 2–1 8.8%
- 0–0 8.1%
- 3–1 6.1%
- 4–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Denmark
Bench M. Bidstrup , V. Bak , A. Daghim , A. Gaaei , M. Daramy , M. Hermansen , L. Høgsberg , Andreas Jungdal , T. Jørgensen , V. Froholdt , Victor Nelsson , K. Hogh
Wales
Bench R. Norrington-Davies , L. Koumas , T. King , J. James , M. Harris , J. Dasilva , L. Cullen , D. Cornell , C. Congreve , B. Cabango , W. Burns , J. Sheehan
Form guide
Denmark at home
4–1–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 6.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Wales away
1–0–4 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Denmark vs Wales head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Wales v Denmark | 0–4 | |
| Wales v Denmark | 1–2 | |
| Denmark v Wales | 2–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 8.00 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 29% | 3.51 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 12.52 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 11% | 8.74 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 47.85 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 48.56 |