Serbia vs Netherlands match stats & report

1–2 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League A - 2 · Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade · Ref Szymon Marciniak

Serbia stats & fixtures · Netherlands stats & fixtures

Serbia lost to Netherlands 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on 27 September 2026. Netherlands had 67% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Serbia 20%, the draw 23% and Netherlands 57%.

Serbia vs Netherlands match statistics

SerbiaNetherlands

Goals and cards

  1. 12' Yellow card S. Lukić Serbia
  2. 30' Penalty scored M. Meerdink Netherlands
  3. 46' Goal L. Jović (assist S. Lukić) Serbia
  4. 69' Goal M. Meerdink (assist G. Til) Netherlands
  5. 85' Yellow card J. Timber Netherlands

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (10.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals95%1.05
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals43%2.32
Over 4.5 goals25%4.04
Under 0.5 goals5%21.37
Under 1.5 goals14%7.13
Under 2.5 goals35%2.87
Under 3.5 goals57%1.76
Under 4.5 goals75%1.33
Both teams to score: Yes63%1.58
Both teams to score: No37%2.74

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.4

Serbia 3.9 · Netherlands 4.5

Total cornersOverUnder
6.571%29%
7.559%41%
8.546%54%
9.534%66%
10.524%76%

Expected cards: 3.2

Serbia 1.7 · Netherlands 1.5

Total cardsOverUnder
1.582%18%
2.561%39%
3.540%60%
4.522%78%
5.511%89%

Expected shots on target: 8.7

Serbia 3.2 · Netherlands 5.5

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.574%26%
7.562%38%
8.549%51%
9.537%63%
10.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4412 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 10.3%
  2. 1–2 9.7%
  3. 0–2 7.9%
  4. 1–3 6.9%
  5. 0–1 6.2%
  6. 2–2 6.0%
  7. 2–1 5.6%
  8. 0–3 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Serbia at home

2–0–3 in 5 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 5
Corners
6.4 per game
Shots on target
6.6 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Netherlands away

3–2–0 in 5 matches

Scored
2.4 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 5
Corners
5.4 per game
Shots on target
6.2 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.88
Home -0.5 handicap 20% 4.93
Home Over 1.5 team goals 35% 2.87
Home +0.5 handicap 43% 2.31
Home/Draw double chance 43% 2.31
Home +1.5 handicap 64% 1.55
Home Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.41
Home -1.5 handicap 9% 11.71
Home clean sheet 12% 8.38
Away Over 0.5 team goals 88% 1.14
Away +1.5 handicap 91% 1.09
Home/Away double chance 77% 1.30
Away Over 1.5 team goals 63% 1.60
Draw/Away double chance 80% 1.25
Away +0.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Away Over 2.5 team goals 36% 2.80
Away -0.5 handicap 57% 1.76
Away -1.5 handicap 36% 2.82
Away clean sheet 29% 3.42