Serbia vs Netherlands match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Serbia stats & fixtures · Netherlands stats & fixtures
Serbia lost to Netherlands 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on 27 September 2026. Netherlands had 67% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Serbia 20%, the draw 23% and Netherlands 57%.
Serbia vs Netherlands match statistics
- 33% Ball possession 67%
- 11 Total shots 25
- 6 Shots on target 8
- 4 Shots off target 7
- 1 Blocked shots 10
- 10 Shots inside the box 15
- 3 Corners 4
- 7 Fouls 10
- 4 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 303 Passes 636
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 12' Yellow card S. Lukić Serbia
- 30' Penalty scored M. Meerdink Netherlands
- 46' Goal L. Jović (assist S. Lukić) Serbia
- 69' Goal M. Meerdink (assist G. Til) Netherlands
- 85' Yellow card J. Timber Netherlands
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 20%Serbia fair odds 4.93
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.35
- 57%Netherlands fair odds 1.76
Most likely score 1-1 (10.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.04 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.37 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.13 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.74 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Serbia 3.9 · Netherlands 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Serbia 1.7 · Netherlands 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Serbia 3.2 · Netherlands 5.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4412 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.3%
- 1–2 9.7%
- 0–2 7.9%
- 1–3 6.9%
- 0–1 6.2%
- 2–2 6.0%
- 2–1 5.6%
- 0–3 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Serbia
Bench N. Maksimović , F. Kostić , Đ. Petrović , Lazar Samardžić , N. Simić , F. Stanković , D. Tadic , M. CvetkoviÄ , V. Dragojević , S. Džodić , Strahinja Eraković , L. Jović
Netherlands
Bench M. Flekken , J. Hato , T. Koopmeiners , N. Lang , R. Roefs , K. Taylor , G. Til , Q. Timber , J. Timber , J. Zirkzee , R. van Bommel , Nathan Aké
Form guide
Serbia at home
2–0–3 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 5
- Corners
- 6.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.6 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Netherlands away
3–2–0 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.88 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.93 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.55 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.71 |
| Home clean sheet | 12% | 8.38 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.82 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.42 |