Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Lithuania stats & fixtures · Azerbaijan stats & fixtures
Lithuania drew with Azerbaijan 1–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League D - 2) on 27 September 2026. Lithuania had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lithuania 34%, the draw 33% and Azerbaijan 33%.
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 9 Total shots 9
- 3 Shots on target 4
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 3 Blocked shots 2
- 4 Shots inside the box 7
- 0 Corners 2
- 15 Fouls 16
- 3 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 432 Passes 418
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 9' Penalty scored A. Kučys Lithuania
- 14' Goal M. Emreli (assist T. Mütəllimov) Azerbaijan
- 27' Yellow card R. Mammadov Azerbaijan
- 39' Yellow card T. Mütəllimov Azerbaijan
- 52' Yellow card G. Gineitis Lithuania
- 56' Yellow card A. Isaev Azerbaijan
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 34%Lithuania fair odds 2.91
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.07
- 33%Azerbaijan fair odds 3.03
Most likely score 1-1 (15.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.55 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 13.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 7.79 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.86 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Lithuania 3.8 · Azerbaijan 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Lithuania 1.7 · Azerbaijan 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 7.9
Lithuania 3.6 · Azerbaijan 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4412 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 15.1%
- 0–0 12.8%
- 1–0 10.6%
- 0–1 10.3%
- 2–1 7.5%
- 1–2 7.3%
- 2–0 6.9%
- 0–2 6.5%
Team news & lineups
Lithuania
Bench Ž. Baltrūnas , Motiejus Burba , E. Gertmonas , E. Jankauskas , K. Kažukolovas , Rokas Lekiatas , M. Ruzgis , Tomas Švedkauskas , I. Venckus , M. Vorobjovas , D. Šluta , F. Steponavičius
Azerbaijan
Bench M. Qurbanly , R. Mirzəmmədov , E. Mahmudov , A. Krivotsyuk , Vüsal İsgändärli , I. Huseynov , T. Bayramov , A. Bayramov , R. Abdullazadə , C. Hüseynov , E. Bədəlov
Form guide
Lithuania at home
1–2–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 2.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.3 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Azerbaijan away
0–1–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 3
- Corners
- 1.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan v Lithuania | 0–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.26 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.03 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.48 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.04 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.27 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.82 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.96 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.77 |