Universidad de Chile vs Antofagasta prediction, stats & H2H
Universidad de Chile stats & fixtures · Antofagasta stats & fixtures
Universidad de Chile take on Antofagasta in the Copa Chile (Quarter-finals) on 5 November 2026. The Ghost makes Universidad de Chile favourites at 66%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 11.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Universidad de Chile vs Antofagasta prediction
The Ghost: Universidad de Chile to win, 66%
- 66%Universidad de Chile fair odds 1.52
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.53
- 12%Antofagasta fair odds 8.10
Most likely score 2-0 (11.9%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Universidad de Chile to score about 1.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 32% in this competition.
High confidence — Fitted on 2301 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Universidad de Chile
Attack 1.44 · Defence 0.62
Last five: LWWLD, scored 11, conceded 5
Antofagasta
Attack 1.16 · Defence 0.78
Last five: WDWWW, scored 11, conceded 0
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.32× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last meeting: Universidad de Chile won 0, 0 drawn, Antofagasta won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- Antofagasta has had 7 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (12%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Antofagasta has a new coach, Luis Marcoleta, for its last 8 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Universidad de Chile attack scores 44% more than average, against Antofagasta defence, which lets in 22% fewer than average: 1.96 goals (an average side here: 1.74)
- Antofagasta attack scores 16% more than average, against Universidad de Chile defence, which lets in 38% fewer than average: 0.95 goals (an average side here: 1.32)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Universidad de Chile 2.09, Antofagasta 0.82.
Ratings from 118 matches for Universidad de Chile and 116 for Antofagasta, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Universidad de Chile score 2.6 a game — 97th percentile in this competition.
- Antofagasta score 1.7 a game — 97th percentile in this competition.
- Universidad de Chile win 6.7 corners a game — 88th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.91 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.97 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.01 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.9%
- 1–1 10.5%
- 1–0 10.2%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 3–0 8.3%
- 3–1 6.8%
- 0–0 6.7%
- 4–0 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Universidad de Chile
- 25 G. Castellón Goalkeeper
- 7 M. Guerrero Midfielder
- 11 E. Vargas Attacker
- 22 M. Zaldivia Defender
- 15 T. Reinhart Midfielder
- 5 N. Ramírez Defender
- 3 I. Lichnovsky Defender
- 20 C. Aránguiz Midfielder
- 23 I. Vásquez Attacker
- 28 A. Arce Attacker
- 14 M. Morales Midfielder
Antofagasta
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
Universidad de Chile at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 9.3 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Antofagasta away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Universidad de Chile vs Antofagasta head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Antofagasta v Universidad de Chile | 2–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Universidad de Chile vs Antofagasta head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home clean sheet | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 34% | 2.91 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 20% | 5.07 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.08 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.10 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.03 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 24.82 |