New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City match stats & report
0–3 Full time
New York Red Bulls stats & fixtures · St. Louis City stats & fixtures
New York Red Bulls lost to St. Louis City 0–3 in Major League Soccer on 30 September 2026. St. Louis City had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave New York Red Bulls 28%, the draw 24% and St. Louis City 48%.
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City match statistics
- 45% Ball possession 55%
- 10 Total shots 15
- 5 Shots on target 8
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 4
- 5 Shots inside the box 10
- 4 Corners 3
- 12 Fouls 12
- 3 Offsides 4
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 426 Passes 505
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal Rafael Navarro (assist C. Wallem) St. Louis City
- 35' Yellow card T. Baumgartl St. Louis City
- 86' Yellow card E. Forsberg New York Red Bulls
- 87' Goal S. Becher (assist C. Durkin) St. Louis City
- 90+1' Goal T. Ostrak St. Louis City
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 28%New York Red Bulls fair odds 3.57
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.15
- 48%St. Louis City fair odds 2.09
Most likely score 1-1 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.61 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.76 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.86 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
New York Red Bulls 5.8 · St. Louis City 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.2
New York Red Bulls 2.2 · St. Louis City 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
New York Red Bulls 4.0 · St. Louis City 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (460 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.8%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 2–1 7.0%
- 0–2 6.7%
- 2–2 6.3%
- 0–1 5.9%
- 1–3 5.9%
- 0–0 4.9%
Team news & lineups
New York Red Bulls
Bench C. Faello , Pedro Castro, N. Worth , R. Voloder , T. Rosborough , A. Rojas , J. McCarthy
St. Louis City
Bench M. Perez , Rafael Santos , S. Becher , S. Jeong , M. Joyner , B. Lundt , L. MacNaughton , J. Orozco , T. Ostrak
Out and doubtful
- A. Mehmeti New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- J. Che New York Red Bulls Out — Ankle Injury
- O. Valencia New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- R. Donkor New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- K. Hiebert St. Louis City Out — Hip Injury
- A. Marcucci New York Red Bulls Out — Knee Injury
- D. Ruiz New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- J. Hall New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- J. Marshall-Rutty New York Red Bulls Out — Hamstring Injury
- M. Dos Santos New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- M. Jimenez New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- R. Mosquera New York Red Bulls Out — International duty
- Celio Pompeu St. Louis City Out — Knee Injury
- D. Downs St. Louis City Out — International duty
- B. McSorley St. Louis City Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- P. Ault St. Louis City Doubtful — Ankle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
St. Louis City away
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City | 3–1 | |
| New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City | 0–1 | |
| St. Louis City v New York Red Bulls | 2–2 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home clean sheet | 15% | 6.51 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.56 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.87 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.09 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 27% | 3.69 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.46 |