Canada vs Chile match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Canada beat Chile 1–0 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 26 September 2026. Canada had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Canada 47%, the draw 28% and Chile 25%.
Canada vs Chile match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 5 Total shots 3
- 3 Shots on target 2
- 1 Shots off target 0
- 1 Blocked shots 1
- 5 Shots inside the box 1
- 2 Corners 2
- 6 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 3
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 199 Passes 173
- 86% Pass accuracy 87%
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 12' Goal J. David (assist C. Larin) Canada
- 29' Yellow card G. Suazo Chile
- 35' Red card L. Cepeda Chile
- 50' Yellow card G. Suazo Chile
- 50' Red card G. Suazo Chile
- 72' Yellow card C. Larin Canada
- 81' Yellow card Jamie Knight-Lebel Canada
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Canada fair odds 2.11
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.57
- 25%Chile fair odds 4.06
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.52 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.02 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.20 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Canada 5.3 · Chile 3.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Canada 1.7 · Chile 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Canada 3.9 · Chile 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 7.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 8.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 9.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4401 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 1–0 9.3%
- 2–0 8.6%
- 0–0 8.3%
- 1–2 6.5%
- 0–1 5.9%
- 2–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Canada
Bench O. Goodman , Jamie Knight-Lebel , R. Chukwu , Jovan Ivanišević , S. Eustaquio , L. Millar , Promise David , T. Oluwaseyi , J. Russell-Rowe , J. Hoilett , D. Jebbison
Chile
Bench C. Bravo , B. Cortés , D. Ulloa , M. Morales , F. Salinas , P. Diaz , M. Gutiérrez , A. Arce , F. Loyola , Nils Reichmuth , V. Méndez , M. Sepúlveda , R. Echeverría , B. Brereton , L. Hernández
Form guide
Canada at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 8.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chile away
3–0–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Canada vs Chile head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Canada v Chile | 0–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.06 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.11 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.90 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.98 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.93 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.64 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 3.93 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 2.99 |