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Cruz Azul vs Toluca match stats & report

3–3 Full time

Liga MX · Mexico · Apertura - 10 · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City · Ref Katia García

Cruz Azul stats & fixtures · Toluca stats & fixtures

Cruz Azul drew with Toluca 3–3 in Liga MX (Apertura - 10) on 26 September 2026. Toluca had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cruz Azul 45%, the draw 27% and Toluca 29%.

Cruz Azul vs Toluca match statistics

Cruz AzulToluca

Goals and cards

  1. 7' Goal N. Ibáñez (assist J. Paradela) Cruz Azul
  2. 37' Yellow card D. Barbosa Toluca
  3. 38' Goal G. Fernández (assist N. Ibáñez) Cruz Azul
  4. 45+2' Yellow card A. Palavecino Cruz Azul
  5. 45+2' Yellow card Toluca
  6. 52' Yellow card W. Ditta Cruz Azul
  7. 55' Penalty scored Helinho Toluca
  8. 56' Goal A. Vega (assist Helinho) Toluca
  9. 57' Yellow card G. Piovi Cruz Azul
  10. 78' Goal A. Vega (assist N. Castro) Toluca
  11. 90+5' Goal G. Fernández (assist A. Montaño) Cruz Azul
  12. 90+9' Yellow card A. Montaño Cruz Azul

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.07
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Over 4.5 goals17%5.89
Under 0.5 goals7%14.78
Under 1.5 goals20%5.03
Under 2.5 goals44%2.26
Under 3.5 goals67%1.50
Under 4.5 goals83%1.20
Both teams to score: Yes59%1.69
Both teams to score: No41%2.46

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.3

Cruz Azul 5.4 · Toluca 4.9

Total cornersOverUnder
8.569%31%
9.557%43%
10.546%54%
11.535%65%
12.525%75%

Expected cards: 4.1

Cruz Azul 2.1 · Toluca 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
2.577%23%
3.558%42%
4.539%61%
5.524%76%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 9.3

Cruz Azul 5.5 · Toluca 3.8

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.569%31%
8.557%43%
9.545%55%
10.533%67%
11.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (327 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.5%
  2. 2–1 9.5%
  3. 1–0 7.6%
  4. 2–0 7.3%
  5. 1–2 7.3%
  6. 0–0 6.8%
  7. 2–2 5.8%
  8. 0–1 5.5%

Team news & lineups

Cruz Azul

Confirmed 5-3-2 Joel Huiqui

Bench L. Romero , R. Gonzalez , C. Ebere , Ariel Castro Sevilla , J. Calero , A. Montaño , A. Montes , E. Ochoa , R. Orquin , J. Rodarte

Toluca

Confirmed 4-2-3-1 A. Mohamed

Bench S. Aceves , J. Angulo , R. Beltrán , Antonio Briseño , J. Díaz , J. Estrada , É. Gutiérrez , O. Virgen

Form guide

Cruz Azul at home

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.9 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
6.4 per game
Shots on target
6.2 per game

32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Toluca away

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.3 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Cruz Azul vs Toluca head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Toluca v Cruz Azul 1–1
Cruz Azul v Toluca 1–0
Toluca v Cruz Azul 2–2
Cruz Azul v Toluca 1–1
Toluca v Cruz Azul 0–1
Cruz Azul v Toluca 0–2

The full Cruz Azul vs Toluca head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -0.5 handicap 45% 2.24
Home -1.5 handicap 24% 4.24
Home clean sheet 28% 3.59
Home +0.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Home/Draw double chance 71% 1.41
Home +1.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Home Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.47
Home Over 1.5 team goals 49% 2.06
Home Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.24
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.36
Away +1.5 handicap 76% 1.31
Away Over 0.5 team goals 72% 1.39
Away +0.5 handicap 55% 1.81
Draw/Away double chance 55% 1.81
Away clean sheet 20% 5.09
Away -0.5 handicap 29% 3.47
Away Over 1.5 team goals 37% 2.73
Away -1.5 handicap 13% 7.66
Away Over 2.5 team goals 14% 7.17